TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36b0…f5be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$352.29
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.56
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.68
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$76.65
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$257.14
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.89
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,012.44
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.46
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.82
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$214.88
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$144.89
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$144.33
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.62
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.96
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$89.54
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$79.2
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+83.8%+$39.67
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$47.6
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+455.6%+$426.4
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+70.4%+$183.88
All 25 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.8
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.92
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$478.06
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$405.54
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$273.68
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$282.8
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$40.28
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66.88
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.79
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+57.5%+$317.78
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$264.88
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$67.75
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+120.9%+$1,253.55
Will Pluribus win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59.36
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$176.16
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+127.3%+$645.12
Will "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37.2%+$201.98
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$53.01
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.36
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+138.1%+$209.96
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$108.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+95.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.18
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.46
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$703.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$122.59
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+669.2%+$271.44
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$68.7
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$237.93
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$160.98
Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$28.56
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$396.27
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+239.9%+$613.3
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+669.2%+$689.91
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+502.7%+$1,104.33
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$125.16
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$235.31
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$227.96
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$109.76
Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$178.71
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$148.41
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+354.5%+$658.32
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$83.3
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$481.5
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.64
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44.25
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+308.7%+$544.58
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+264.8%+$853.6
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$93.84
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$561.52
Will Jensen Huang say "TSMC" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$113.94
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$143.91
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.32
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$48.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-75%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+124.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+294.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+294.3%+$654.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.6%+$888.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$206.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.