IPO · resolved market
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed43b43744b7d621e641587cf072c6f1ed975c1757083a3d16344b0b570760e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 57c | 948$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 57c | 940$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 6c | 926.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 43c | 900$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed Yes | 43c | 836$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 43c | 792$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +132%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 43c | 595$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 43c | 591$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked No | 57c | 581$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 43c | 559$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 57c | 544$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked Yes | 43c | 508$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…1461backed Yes | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked Yes | 43c | 489$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked No | 58c | 482$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked No | 57c | 470$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 57c | 444$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 42c | 437$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed No | 58c | 431$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +204.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b919backed Yes | 43c | 407$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 43c | 390$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 43c | 379$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 57c | 357$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes | 42c | 330$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 43c | 326$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 43c | 313$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 10c | 308.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 43c | 305$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed No | 57c | 305$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 42c | 301$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed Yes | 43c | 298$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 57c | 286$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…3d70backed Yes | 5c | 284.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…fc43backed No | 57c | 279$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 58c | 275$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 43c | 273$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Yes | 40c | 272.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed No | 57c | 267$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 43c | 259$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 57c | 255$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 57c | 252$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed No | 58c | 252$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed No | 57c | 247$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked No | 57c | 242$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 43c | 238$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed No | 58c | 238$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 43c | 231$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 58c | 231$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 57c | 228$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +271.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed No | 57c | 224$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 57c | 223$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked No | 57c | 218$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 43c | 217$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed No | 57c | 212$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed No | 57c | 210$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +167%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 57c | 204$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 43c | 197$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 58c | 184$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 43c | 184$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…7c05backed No | 58c | 183$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 42c | 176$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 57c | 169$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed No | 57c | 169$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 43c | 168$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 42c | 164$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 42c | 163$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 43c | 162$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 42c | 158$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked No | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked No | 57c | 144$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed No | 57c | 142$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…8cf3backed Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…6890backed No | 58c | 137$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 43c | 131$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…6c92backed Yes | 42c | 131$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked No | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +213.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +262.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 10c | 124.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 57c | 124$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 43c | 122$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…0c32backed Yes | 43c | 122$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 69c | 121$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 42c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 57c | 114$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 111.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 43c | 103$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 57c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…9907backed No | 58c | 91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 37c | 89.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…8919backed Yes | 43c | 89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?this page
- Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Medline's market cap be between $45B and $55B at market close on IPO day?Yes won
- Will Medline's market cap be greater than $65B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Medline's market cap be less than $35B at market close on IPO day?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.