TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x367b…48da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.04
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$31.82
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.68
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.71
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.59
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.44
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.84
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.86
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48.32
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$48.74
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+525%+$529.2
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$44.75
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$450.36
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$66.78
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$28.08
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.13
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$66.3
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$72.03
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69%+$116.35
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.2
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$873.6
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$861.3
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$160.32
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25.83
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$128.26
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$186.78
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.84
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.13
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$283.31
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.24
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.28
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$216.08
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$98.96
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.32
Will "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$83.7
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$200.66
Will "Epstein" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$38.5
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$119.14
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$70.18
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+258.3%+$222.77
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$383.52
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$51.22
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.34
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150%+$16.8
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.2%+$82.57
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$55.1
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$67.68
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$229
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$217.04
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.46
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.82
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.56
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.55
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150.22
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$171.18
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$203.91
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$160.48
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.91
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$263.31
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$127.68
Khamenei public appearance by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+257.1%+$283.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$373.18
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$52.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$339
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$145
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$489.83
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$319.8
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$401.76
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$133.7
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.6%+$310.01
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.73
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.33
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$186.15
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.52
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.62
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$137.49
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$84.01
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$181.6
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$91.12
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+509.8%+$337.74
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.95
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.9
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.42
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$36.98
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$137.02
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.74
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.61
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$106.1
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$47.88
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$280.34
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$88.16
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Canada recession before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$331.84
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.83
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$123.5
Will Hannah Spencer – Green Party finish second in the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$77.4
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.55
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+426.3%+$204.93
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$162.24
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.56
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.13
Will Luís Marques Mendes win more than 26% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.53
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$26.46
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$31.25
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 50,000 and 60,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$69
Will Irma Rosibel Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$130.97
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$107.1
Will Ciucu win by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30.88
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$33.6
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$58.71
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$805.14
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.39
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.55
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$631.8
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$60.63
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$128.16
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$277.5
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$268
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.78
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$406.02
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$307.44
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.9%+$105.89
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+316.7%+$159.6
Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$581.35
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$286.5
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$23.31
All 20 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+184.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+123.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+66.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+119.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$172.52
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+177.8%+$108.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.16
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+525%+$600.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,225.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$696.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$115.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$367.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$423.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?backed Odd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.