Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x631d6571883986ed601935a077ea908df86d68a6e2c33ad2c198b212f1632ac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Alabama Crimson Tide, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,173 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7321…1812backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 1,001$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Ole Miss Rebels | 75c | 991$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 21c | 990$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 79c | 990$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 975$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +238%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 975$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +397.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 935$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 933$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +249.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 899$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…59d6backed Ole Miss Rebels | 78c | 874$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…ee38backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 22c | 874$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 808$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +249.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…1690backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 767$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…15babacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 758$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +397.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 703$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 688$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +397.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 685$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 608$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 587$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 35c | 552$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +236.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 550$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…7c6fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 21c | 550$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 544$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 489$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…be6fbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 444$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…75b7backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 428$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Ole Miss Rebels | 79c | 426$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…469fbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 393$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 383$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 368$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 368$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 15cpaid | +443.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Ole Miss Rebels | 79c | 363$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 21c | 363$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +373.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Ole Miss Rebels | 79c | 352$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 30c | 341$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 21c | 327$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed Ole Miss Rebels | 70c | 314$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 286$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 286$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 265$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 264$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Ole Miss Rebels | 65c | 254$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 248$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 244$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 234$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5ad5backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 229$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 30c | 215$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 194$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +217.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +603.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked Ole Miss Rebels | 79c | 135$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +397.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 20c | 71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Ole Miss Rebels | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7271…775bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 80cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01b…24b8backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 23.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 80cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…d390backed Ole Miss Rebels | 80c | 15.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 80cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.