NBA · resolved market
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x056d6183aaa7ca2e421ff219f5585293109375de478d216f84b57f78af5bd17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,020 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 75c | 1,977$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 3c | 1,788$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…b9b4backed Yes | 63c | 1,614$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 35c | 1,610$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed No | 37c | 1,297$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Yes | 63c | 1,137$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 65c | 1,123$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 61c | 1,115$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked No | 37c | 1,096$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed Yes | 63c | 1,032$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 64c | 1,012$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 13c | 965.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked No | 37c | 962$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Yes | 63c | 940$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 48c | 939$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed Yes | 54c | 913$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed No | 35c | 865$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 34c | 858$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed No | 12c | 849$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 67c | 847$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked No | 48c | 844$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 48c | 838$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 52c | 823$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 65c | 819$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 35c | 818$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.3 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 34c | 811$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 33c | 809$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4bd2backed No | 37c | 799$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed No | 37c | 783$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed No | 37c | 775$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 69c | 756.16$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked No | 37c | 753$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…52cfbacked No | 35c | 745$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed Yes | 63c | 740$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked No | 13c | 736$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes | 66c | 730$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…19c8backed Yes | 63c | 708$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed No | 40c | 707$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed No | 46c | 707$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked Yes | 65c | 668$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed Yes | 64c | 664$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 33c | 660$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 30c | 658$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 52c | 658$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 12c | 655$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 35c | 653$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 52c | 639$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed No | 37c | 634$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 69c | 629$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…fc69backed No | 23c | 627$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 37c | 625$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Yes | 63c | 620$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 62c | 619$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 61c | 618$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 64c | 599$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 63c | 598$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 65c | 596$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed No | 36c | 596$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed Yes | 65c | 590$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed No | 35c | 590$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked No | 37c | 587$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 35c | 583$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 33c | 555$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fcd2backed Yes | 63c | 546$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 35c | 544$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed Yes | 65c | 541$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 67c | 535$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 32c | 532$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed No | 37c | 521$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 65c | 511$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 77c | 494$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 37c | 488$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 76c | 483$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed No | 37c | 482$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed No | 37c | 481$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 65c | 476$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed Yes | 67c | 462$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed No | 37c | 462$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed No | 37c | 460$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked Yes | 52c | 458$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…d8b8backed No | 6c | 455.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 23c | 448$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 66c | 439$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 52c | 436$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed Yes | 63c | 433$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 48c | 415$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 65c | 407$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 63c | 405$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed No | 37c | 405$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 59c | 399$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 50c | 396$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 48c | 391$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 65c | 385$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked No | 33c | 381.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed Yes | 52c | 381$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked No | 39c | 381$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked No | 12c | 380$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win more than 19.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win more than 33.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win more than 56.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win more than 52.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win more than 32.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.