NBA · resolved market

Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa67d40132e89f2a55e8947c43dc68a11b32b3b2152aae1012bcfec8543dea8fb

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,382 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	66c	2,152$1,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$731.56	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	55c	1,426$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.34	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	4c	1,137$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.29	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c5…4c23backed No	79c	1,135$901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.8	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed Yes	18c	1,118$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.42	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes	22c	1,083$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.28	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f5…b461backed No	68c	1,049$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.68	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed Yes	27c	1,021$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.67	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed Yes	32c	980$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.6	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed Yes	19c	938$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.22	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed Yes	28c	914$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.92	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed No	73c	876$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.52	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed Yes	24c	876$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.57	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed Yes	19c	856$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.64	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked Yes	27c	852$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.04	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed Yes	2c	800$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0b2f…c453backed No	74c	799$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.89	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed Yes	32c	796$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.72	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7f…f745backed No	73c	795$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.65	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes	19c	768$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.92	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed No	73c	725$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.75	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd907…f15fbacked No	72c	723$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.44	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed No	73c	714$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.78	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed No	68c	680$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.6	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes	19c	664$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.16	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed No	68c	655$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.6	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6317…e864backed Yes	27c	653$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.31	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed No	73c	623$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.21	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe335…cd12backed Yes	33c	605$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.65	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed Yes	19c	589$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.91	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed No	72c	588$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.64	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes	27c	561$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.47	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes	32c	556$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.92	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes	27c	534$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.18	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-4.9wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8132…a491backed Yes	28c	516$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.48	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed No	73c	498$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.46	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes	27c	496$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.92	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes	27c	490$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.3	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes	27c	485$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.95	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67f2…6a72backed Yes	27c	451$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.77	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed No	73c	427$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.29	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd9b…b6aabacked No	78c	424.4$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.43	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes	32c	390$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.8	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked No	73c	390$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.3	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed Yes	27c	390$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.3	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked No	73c	389$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.03	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed No	67c	383$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.39	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked Yes	27c	379$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.33	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x036f…31a9backed No	73c	377$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.79	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed Yes	27c	344$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.88	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked No	73c	344$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.88	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes	19c	340$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed Yes	27c	310$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.7	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e57…6c04backed Yes	18c	301.75$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.32	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e9e…bd49backed No	73c	296$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.92	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+3.6wins	+0.36per pick	44cpaid	+103.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf7ef…79d6backed No	72c	291$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.48	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc123…115cbacked Yes	32c	288$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.16	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked No	73c	287$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.49	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes	27c	274$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.98	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed Yes	28c	269$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.32	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…0c32backed Yes	13c	267$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.71	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes	18c	254$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.72	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed No	68c	237$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.84	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked Yes	19c	234$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.46	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfda…5709backed No	67c	232$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.56	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes	27c	205$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.35	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked No	73c	205$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.35	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb890…a592backed Yes	28c	202$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.56	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed No	73c	200$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.5wins	-0.30per pick	44cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed No	72c	194$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.32	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes	19c	174$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.06	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+60%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes	20c	169.76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.48	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322a…3274backed No	68c	168$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.76	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked Yes	26c	167$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.25	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed No	68c	162$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.84	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5c…3912backed No	67c	142$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.22	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed Yes	27c	134$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.18	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x365f…d215backed Yes	30c	125$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	30c	124.15$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.44	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9720…f4d1backed No	68c	116$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.12	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+50.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9d9…bacbbacked No	69c	116$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.96	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed No	73c	113$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.51	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed Yes	10c	113$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed Yes	31c	110$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes	16c	109$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.44	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…6741backed Yes	19c	108$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.25per pick	42cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed Yes	20c	105$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bae…8200backed No	80c	105$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+109.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed Yes	32c	103$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.96	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	80	20%16 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e2…7babbacked No	72c	98$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.44	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde23…62e9backed No	71c	95$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.24	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes	55c	90$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	26c	81.48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.78	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe136…cacebacked Yes	19c	81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes	13c	80$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	47c	72$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.16	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c42…a64bbacked Yes	30c	72$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes	21c	70.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…246cbacked Yes	35c	70$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	143	46.9%67 W · 76 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event