NBA · resolved market
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb01a364597656d3f4e40796fb38e16f4a3ed0336718e26568545f6d709925a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef37…a179backed Yes | 30c | 58,692$17,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,669.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa992…8f7ebacked No | 70c | 24,800$17,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…9d23backed No | 70c | 22,500$15,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,772.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…3581backed No | 70c | 7,900$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…14efbacked No | 70c | 3,500$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…2d8fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 48c | 2,351$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.18 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 2,239$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 32c | 1,241$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 39c | 1,189$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.39 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed Yes | 52c | 1,111$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.83 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 52c | 1,110$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.71 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed No | 36c | 1,103$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 80c | 1,069$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed No | 72c | 1,029$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.34 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 32c | 1,012$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.29 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 21c | 1,007$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked No | 36c | 957$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked No | 36c | 936$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 75c | 934$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 36c | 926$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 64c | 864$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed No | 36c | 862$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed No | 80c | 861$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 80c | 856$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked Yes | 64c | 816$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 80c | 796$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed Yes | 64c | 792$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 38c | 762.28$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 74c | 760$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 36c | 760$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 80c | 749$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…7c05backed Yes | 20c | 704$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed Yes | 64c | 700$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 64c | 693$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked Yes | 26c | 690$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 36c | 677$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.93 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 48c | 675$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed No | 36c | 670$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 36c | 669$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed No | 80c | 632$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.66 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 76c | 626$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…5122backed No | 73c | 623$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…b675backed No | 72c | 610.49$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 36c | 605$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 26c | 600$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 20c | 594$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 32c | 586$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed No | 73c | 578$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 52c | 578$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 64c | 577$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.43 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 26c | 566$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 36c | 555$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 74c | 553$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed Yes | 20c | 544$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 24c | 544$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 41c | 532$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 64c | 522$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.04 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed No | 80c | 515$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 20c | 511$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 20c | 491$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 64c | 491$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed Yes | 27c | 490$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 64c | 485$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked No | 36c | 485$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed No | 36c | 475$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.05 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 64c | 475$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed No | 36c | 472$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed Yes | 52c | 469$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 52c | 467$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c824backed Yes | 64c | 464$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 73c | 459$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 36c | 450$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 64c | 450$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed Yes | 64c | 449$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 65c | 445.12$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed Yes | 64c | 439$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 36c | 431$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 27c | 426$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed No | 73c | 416$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked No | 36c | 416$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 20c | 410$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 80c | 407$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 27c | 407$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed Yes | 27c | 405$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 36c | 398$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 22c | 391$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 64c | 389$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked No | 73c | 381$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 80c | 379$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 48c | 374$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed No | 36c | 373$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 20c | 371$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 28c | 363$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed Yes | 64c | 362$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed No | 36c | 355$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 48c | 347$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…50e1backed No | 50c | 346$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win more than 19.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win more than 33.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win more than 56.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win more than 52.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win more than 32.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.