TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba6b…b341

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: AI, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category AI at 52 out of 100; worst Boxing at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.66
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+348.4%+$97.12
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.48
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.53
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$39.24
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.15
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$230.52
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.35
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$41.75
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$179.5
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$112.94
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+147.8%+$426.88
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$145.92
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62.93
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.62
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+525%+$416.64
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$81.32
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.3
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59.5
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.84
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32.83
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$11.96
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29.44
Will "Jay Kelly" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.68
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$22.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.7
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$41.58
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+218.4%+$113.87
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$64.26
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.08
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.8%+$5.91
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$53.75
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+34.8%+$34.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.07
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.72
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+383.1%+$234.73
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$86.02
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$255.27
Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63.45
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$37.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+47.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+66.7%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.