Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a5ce7ceb8a77b024fa14c123e8267b7ab23ceb53d63b270d92517747e6ece81

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,036 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdce0…7260backed No	77c	2,335$1,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.05	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d8…4c30backed Yes	33c	1,323$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.59	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes	23c	1,200$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	34cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed No	75c	1,076$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.61	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes	23c	962$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.99	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc886…696fbacked No	67c	816$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	39c	806.83$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.08	115	22.6%26 W · 89 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	5c	725.93$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.32	244	33.2%81 W · 163 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No	77c	725$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.75	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2f…c453backed No	78c	709$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.98	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a9…d4f7backed No	66c	703$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.02	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-57%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked No	66c	691$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.94	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed No	64c	686$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.96	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed Yes	23c	649$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes	34c	648$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.32	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45ff…bab6backed Yes	35c	578$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.3	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes	36c	566$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a4…aa57backed No	65c	561$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.35	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked Yes	23c	537$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.51	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed No	77c	529$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.67	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed Yes	23c	529$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.67	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes	23c	513$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.99	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eae…3562backed No	67c	507$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.31	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03e7…9948backed Yes	35c	454.81$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes	22c	424$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.28	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-63%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…e68dbacked No	78c	415$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.3	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba6b…b341backed No	78c	391$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.02	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa151…13b4backed Yes	34c	386$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.24	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf085…a01fbacked Yes	23c	381$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.63	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeac…95c6backed No	78c	373$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.06	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No	77c	336$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.28	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed Yes	23c	336$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.28	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	39c	334.59$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.55	343	33.5%115 W · 228 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acf…2f7bbacked Yes	23c	310$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed No	64c	309$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.24	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Yes	36c	309$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Yes	16c	299.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes	22c	285$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.7	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes	14c	275.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.5	140	19.3%27 W · 113 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed No	78c	259$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.98	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes	34c	253$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.02	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…4441backed Yes	22c	247$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.34	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes	23c	244$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	31c	240.77$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.65	669	14.8%99 W · 570 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe918…d166backed Yes	22c	236$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.92	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes	34c	235$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.9	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed Yes	22c	226$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.72	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed No	71c	221$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.09	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes	29c	221$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.09	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed No	78c	215$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.3	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ff7…a220backed Yes	18c	209$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc26…4b92backed Yes	23c	202.8$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.28	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes	23c	197$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.31	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	39cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	26c	164.07$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.23	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes	38c	161$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.18	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…2648backed No	62c	161$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.18	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes	18c	148$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes	22c	140$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked No	77c	129$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.67	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	26c	122.08$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.63	495	11.5%57 W · 438 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed Yes	36c	120$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+92.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb20e…887abacked No	44c	109.43$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.28	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa400…ec34backed No	78c	103$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.66	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	21c	96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea72…d821backed Yes	57c	87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.2	100	48%48 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	70c	71.27$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes	35c	67.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e7e…cf14backed Yes	53c	59.07$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes	31c	55.97$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…1b84backed Yes	34c	55.17$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4826…06a9backed Yes	38c	52.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	77c	52.47$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked Yes	23c	51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed No	65c	48$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked No	53c	47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.23	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+6.6wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	37c	43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	-10.0wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cb0…0435backed Yes	44c	41.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	59c	39.08$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.02	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes	51c	35.44$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	54c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	121	50.4%61 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	66c	35$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.85	131	43.5%57 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72c8…1e84backed Yes	47c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No	70c	32$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	80c	31.93$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.54	95	78.9%75 W · 20 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	74cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Yes	47c	31.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d1…1fd7backed No	71c	28.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked No	67c	27.13$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.84	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.19per pick	35cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	47c	24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.72	450	35.1%158 W · 292 L	-37.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No	55c	22.14$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.96	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.25per pick	65cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	56c	20.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.84	332	38.6%128 W · 204 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2987…4c9bbacked Yes	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b54…76eabacked No	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1201…924abacked No	53c	18.87$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.87	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No	70c	18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.4	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?this page
Will Brianne K. Nadeau win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won
Will Brooke Pinto win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won
Will Christina Henderson win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won
Will Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?Yes won
Will Robert White Jr. win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event