Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7fa03d7387acee6140c2feada2e3876378549defc075856373adccd3c53a84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 1,495$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.18 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 51c | 1,090$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.91 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 78c | 1,002$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.11 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 10c | 490$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 15c | 339$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 63c | 319.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 16c | 311.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 29c | 311$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 20c | 275.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed No | 71c | 212$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2923backed Yes | 26c | 208$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 16c | 196$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96e…1ea6backed Yes | 40c | 182$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…7130backed No | 74c | 174$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 53c | 173.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 168.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 29c | 168$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 27cpaid | +219.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d5f6backed No | 74c | 167$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed Yes | 26c | 146$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 29c | 146$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…79d6backed No | 71c | 146$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…613bbacked Yes | 53c | 140.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 138.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…7602backed Yes | 26c | 135$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked No | 71c | 125$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed No | 71c | 125$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 21c | 121.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 60c | 119$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 11c | 114.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf365…f5e3backed Yes | 35c | 108.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 18c | 107.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…51c8backed No | 47c | 100.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed No | 53c | 99.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 46c | 90.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed Yes | 29c | 81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 33c | 77.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 54c | 68.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 71c | 61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 53c | 60.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…925fbacked Yes | 55c | 60.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked No | 71c | 58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…feabbacked No | 20c | 54.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…a7fabacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…c7b8backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed No | 74c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…06a9backed Yes | 51c | 42.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed Yes | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…1a68backed Yes | 42c | 40.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…8feabacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…41b3backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…e7e6backed No | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 38.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 51c | 35.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…684cbacked No | 59c | 34.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…5596backed No | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…4b53backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…0b32backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 27.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed No | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 61c | 20.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…1efbbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…3fb2backed Yes | 60c | 19.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 19.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 79c | 16.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?this page
- Will Brianne K. Nadeau win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won
- Will Brooke Pinto win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won
- Will Christina Henderson win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won
- Will Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won
- Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won
- Will Robert White Jr. win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.