World Politics · resolved market
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9fd44b7a530ee6769a47f1174f84582b34871fc94734925ec43a69679b4759f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12c2…0b00backed Yes | 15c | 37,319$5,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,414.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed Yes | 46c | 10,141$4,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,617.78 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 77c | 9,487$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.23 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 52c | 7,629$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.64 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 44c | 5,099$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.05 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…d966backed Yes | 27c | 3,931$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 53c | 3,623$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.36 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked No | 68c | 3,300$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.85 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…616abacked Yes | 7c | 3,240$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed No | 62c | 1,781$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 49c | 1,615$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.81 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 74c | 1,216$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.64 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c380backed Yes | 1c | 1,107$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…1dc6backed No | 59c | 980$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 40c | 952.8$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.1 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 36c | 919.91$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.55 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 61c | 897.93$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.22 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed No | 77c | 863.11$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…caeebacked Yes | 29c | 751.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x603f…9ff1backed Yes | 45c | 680$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35f…0d58backed Yes | 44c | 628.45$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…bbf2backed Yes | 46c | 614.24$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…cafabacked Yes | 53c | 606.08$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 35c | 534$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed No | 3c | 499.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.99 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 43c | 440$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.24 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…110cbacked Yes | 30c | 374.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 52c | 371$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 66c | 361.41$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked Yes | 53c | 350.79$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed No | 55c | 344.17$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 29c | 341.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed No | 74c | 341$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 51c | 317$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 78c | 314$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 71c | 301$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 48c | 293$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 54c | 277.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 52c | 270$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.83 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked No | 43c | 270$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 70c | 270$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed No | 11c | 265.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3750…9ccebacked Yes | 60c | 250.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 58c | 236$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 69c | 229$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 32c | 227$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 71c | 212$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 29c | 208$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked No | 61c | 194$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked Yes | 32c | 185$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 69c | 185$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…340dbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…d76cbacked Yes | 38c | 172$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 71c | 171$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +199.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…c6b4backed No | 62c | 167$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 54c | 166.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 28c | 163$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed No | 52c | 156$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f69…5092backed Yes | 38c | 153$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…ea6bbacked No | 62c | 148$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed Yes | 31c | 146.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 139.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked No | 54c | 135$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…f391backed Yes | 48c | 128.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 35c | 119$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed Yes | 57c | 119$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 57c | 117.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 32c | 115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 113.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 68c | 111$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22de…67fabacked Yes | 10c | 110.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 31c | 109$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed No | 58c | 108$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed No | 68c | 107$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…afa3backed No | 74c | 106.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed No | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 71c | 104$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked No | 80c | 103$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 43c | 103$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e564backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8ad4backed Yes | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 44c | 95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked No | 60c | 94.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 29c | 93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked Yes | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked No | 68c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed Yes | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…d68ebacked Yes | 35c | 77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.