TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb88…6b99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Movies at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Movies — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.81
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$72.8
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.16
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.57
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.16
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.09
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33%+$26.03
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60.84
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59.52
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$62.46
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.05
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$467.39
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$74.46
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$118.95
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.16
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$207.92
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53.9
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$33.6
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$63.8
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$319.68
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$105.78
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$184.92
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$66.42
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$290.13
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$143
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.76
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.87
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.75
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.52
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.6
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$215.28
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.15
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.5
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.26
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.84
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+183.5%+$208.4
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$91.61
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$550.29
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.2
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$59.16
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.16
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.91
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.25
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$109.23
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.96
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$134.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$22.44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$165.6
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$204.05
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.3%+$65.64
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+60.5%+$395.23
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$171
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$172.59
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$231.8
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+60.6%+$115.42
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$52.38
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$63.36
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$96.04
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$42.23
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$57.81
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$47.61
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+354.5%+$73.32
Will Jensen Huang say "TSMC" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.59
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33%+$21.33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.6%+$38.4
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$51.8
Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+27.5%+$17.27
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+488.2%+$121.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+119.8%+$38.69
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$256.2
Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$55
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$161.65
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$77.52
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$443.08
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$25.4
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$23.52
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+44.9%+$57.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$73.37
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$489.6
Will Klint Kubiak be the next Giants Head Coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$260.15
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+455.6%+$334.56
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$39.9
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$279.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+82.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+181%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$38.69
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+146.3%+$26.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.