World Politics · resolved market
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc3c2f18eb43aec49a83b4e14e90d73458593438c7bfcd3a1fb7d72fc9d87de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 3,133$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 0cpaid | +2,830.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 51c | 2,535$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.96 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…f874backed Yes | 52c | 2,290$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…0a59backed No | 46c | 1,624$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 60c | 1,564$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.12 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…b945backed No | 52c | 1,532$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.03 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…0000backed No | 50c | 1,422$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 46c | 1,065$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.45 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes | 35c | 926$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 35c | 732$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 6c | 664.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 44c | 662.73$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.81 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 32c | 640.41$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.93 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 43c | 615$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 29c | 587$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed No | 44c | 512.48$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed No | 65c | 441$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…5bacbacked Yes | 43c | 435.51$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…bb0cbacked Yes | 53c | 430.27$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…5122backed No | 69c | 419$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed No | 65c | 415$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…9b5fbacked No | 46c | 352.72$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 65c | 352$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 35c | 352$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 31c | 352$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed No | 58c | 297.6$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed No | 65c | 297$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 62c | 277$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe135…c346backed No | 55c | 262.3$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 69c | 255$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…dc0dbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 31c | 238$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 51c | 226$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab32…98bcbacked No | 64c | 223.45$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…6625backed Yes | 46c | 219.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…4a6cbacked No | 46c | 219.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…92c4backed Yes | 38c | 204.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 65c | 202.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 50c | 198.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…7d80backed No | 57c | 194.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 73c | 192.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 35c | 187$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…e145backed Yes | 46c | 184.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed Yes | 38c | 161$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed No | 68c | 158$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 49c | 157$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 17c | 155.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a1…d271backed Yes | 47c | 154.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed No | 61c | 148.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6874…651dbacked No | 68c | 146.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed No | 62c | 143$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…22e9backed No | 62c | 136$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed No | 62c | 136$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed No | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…33bcbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0f…fc07backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 67c | 119.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…4b51backed No | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…bc0abacked No | 69c | 105.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…088ebacked Yes | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 104.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…c7b9backed Yes | 32c | 103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…2dc3backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 62c | 95.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 33c | 93.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 38c | 93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 44c | 92.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 38c | 92.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…e748backed Yes | 34c | 91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…bd43backed Yes | 44c | 88.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 16c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…5400backed No | 52c | 83.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed No | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…d215backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 79.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…cf32backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 31c | 74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…3269backed Yes | 37c | 71.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 32c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…989fbacked Yes | 55c | 64.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…34f0backed Yes | 32c | 63.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed No | 64c | 63.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db6…4d79backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…ec2fbacked Yes | 56c | 55.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…47abbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…3da0backed No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…f991backed No | 68c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…5736backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…4601backed Yes | 50c | 51.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…29acbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…b98bbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?this page
- Will 50PLUS be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
- Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
- Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes won
- Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
- Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes won
- Will Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
- Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
- Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
- Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
- Will PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
- Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
- Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
- Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes won
- Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.