Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa12079c3462f7d278f3b4184ccb7ce503bd6cc44e192131a2f71780037aed634

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 23, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $68,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,743 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa445…0286backed Yes	0c	20,776$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.18	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	0cpaid	+2,830.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed No	46c	3,819$1,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,078.9	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd256…b945backed No	63c	2,745$1,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,026.26	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	20c	2,228$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.5	190	27.9%53 W · 137 L	+14.5wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+53%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xac49…67c4backed Yes	52c	1,535$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1694…8a14backed No	34c	1,503$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.36	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae8…0a59backed No	50c	1,502$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.17	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.21per pick	22cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d61…0000backed Yes	54c	1,375$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.72	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab32…98bcbacked Yes	47c	710.67$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.21	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79eb…f471backed No	42c	667.28$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.28	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	28c	642$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.41	150	26%39 W · 111 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes	7c	454.52$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.82	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes	61c	449.29$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.07	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e35…384fbacked Yes	22c	429.78$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.55	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes	23c	372$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.56	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes	18c	367$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.06	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No	52c	357.4$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.11	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28d6…f54ebacked Yes	21c	345$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes	37c	323$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.51	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.26per pick	49cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	47c	303.13$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.47	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed No	51c	296.58$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.58	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes	21c	294$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.74	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0899…14a6backed Yes	7c	290.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…c6a2backed No	59c	289.97$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+70.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed Yes	52c	280$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.62	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-62%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed No	79c	277$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.17	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde2b…73a0backed Yes	21c	266$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.86	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No	79c	255$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.55	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed No	21c	253.78$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.04	83	28.9%24 W · 59 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes	52c	239.77$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes	62c	236.35$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.54	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2012…92b9backed No	55c	215.96$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.42	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	-26%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce82…693bbacked No	36c	200$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf55…7d8abacked No	77c	198$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.54	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…9c76backed No	78c	193$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.46	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed0…6625backed No	53c	187.54$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x651a…22e9backed Yes	20c	187.51$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.27	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+246.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6358…cc23backed Yes	60c	183$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe627…e145backed Yes	43c	180$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1acd…c664backed Yes	7c	175$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed No	77c	174$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.02	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+107.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4924…f404backed No	78c	172$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.84	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfd…946bbacked No	63c	169$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.53	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a10…fbe0backed No	78c	166$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes	29c	157.55$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.81	449	21.2%95 W · 354 L	-21.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x036f…31a9backed Yes	17c	148$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	27cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b23…f3cebacked Yes	9c	146.52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	33c	145.72$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.79	170	37.6%64 W · 106 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed Yes	18c	145$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed No	80c	144$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.31	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…2c6abacked Yes	53c	140.91$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed Yes	66c	137.65$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.85	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f0…33bcbacked Yes	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	67c	129.39$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.22	576	36.3%209 W · 367 L	-27.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No	53c	127.26$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed No	63c	123$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.51	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7534…d51bbacked Yes	18c	123$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-60%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed No	79c	120$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	63c	120$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	13c	114.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	990	17.2%170 W · 820 L	-148.8wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x667f…8c3ebacked Yes	17c	112$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…e748backed No	79c	109$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.89	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed No	57c	105.58$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.58	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3af…cbe9backed Yes	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…9b7dbacked No	24c	104$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.54	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.38per pick	37cpaid	+99.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc743…e23ebacked Yes	26c	103.46$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes	34c	102$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.68	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed No	66c	102$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.68	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.39per pick	36cpaid	+259.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed Yes	61c	100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	200	34%68 W · 132 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked No	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	302	33.8%102 W · 200 L	+19.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…489dbacked No	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf70f…d753backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	72c	84.19$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	293	9.2%27 W · 266 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed No	78c	83$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.44	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8be8…9d93backed No	36c	82.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.63	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+79%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab0…c8f7backed No	63c	80$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x173d…dc87backed No	37c	77.8$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Yes	49c	76.58$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.41	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x151c…919bbacked No	27c	72.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+85.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4c…be9fbacked No	77c	69$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.87	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5927…672bbacked No	64c	69$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.68	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-40%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes	23c	69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed Yes	58c	66.97$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.76	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c6…7d80backed Yes	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5218…4b51backed Yes	39c	64.36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes	19c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc877…05b4backed Yes	51c	59.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes	20c	59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+91.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc561…b68bbacked No	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	16cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe645…345abacked No	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85c…8133backed Yes	56c	50.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	35c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	183	48.6%89 W · 94 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a13…e76bbacked Yes	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…818bbacked Yes	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x956c…13bebacked No	39c	48.69$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	67c	47.82$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.88	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb9…6e73backed Yes	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed No	79c	44$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.24	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?this page
Will 50PLUS be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes won
Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes won
Will Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Will PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes won
Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event