TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5927…672b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Earnings, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 63 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$29.51
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$12.25
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.46
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$26.74
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33%+$7.94
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$7.98
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.77
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.1%+$11.4
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.4%+$7.99
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+27.6%+$10.16
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25.6%+$3.26
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.03
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.53
Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+34.5%+$42.57
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$63.18
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.3%+$44.33
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Will Sentimental Value be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.78
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+93.7%+$16.93
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+111.2%+$17.9
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35%+$5.97
Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+432.3%+$69.87
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2673.1%19 W · 7 L+6.1wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Earnings — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Snowflake say "Competition" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.8%+$16.04
Will Snowflake say "Partnership" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$13.8
Will Snowflake say "Open Source" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$13.68
Will Dell say "Confidence" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+195.8%+$54.28
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+186.4%+$89.17
Will Dell say "RTX Pro 6000" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+78.7%+$31.7
Will Dell say "EPS Growth" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.16
Will Dell say "New Product" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+156.4%+$21.35
Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+32.4%+$16.39
Will Dell say "Zoho" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+54.5%+$11.28
Will Walmart say "Competition" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+30%+$13.15
Will NVIDIA say "Arizona" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+204.7%+$53.07
Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+104%+$58.12
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+81.7%+$13.94
Will NVIDIA say "Taiwan" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.12
Will NVIDIA say "VR / Virtual Reality" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+30.7%+$8.46
Will NVIDIA say "Self Driving" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29.26
Will NVIDIA say "Omniverse" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.5
Will NVIDIA say "TSMC" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27.09
Will NVIDIA say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.65
Will Disney say "DraftKings" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Disney say "NFL Deal" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+93.1%+$47.73
Will Disney say "Debt" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+27.7%+$21.67
Will Disney say "YouTube TV" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.48
Will Disney say "Abu Dhabi" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.9%+$33.72
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$52.5
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$13.78
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.32
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$6.1
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.77
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+43.7%+$10.95
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.29
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$16.46
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.54
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.89
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.64
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+27.7%+$9.75
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+34.7%+$7.98
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+360.4%+$39.14
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35.77
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+60.3%+$28.23
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+315.6%+$111.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+103.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.17
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+54.1%+$70.22
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.14
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+68.8%+$189.29
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+64.3%+$274.41
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+30.4%+$92.41
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+30%+$75.72
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.55
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+1,183.8%+$128.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$21.96
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+55.7%+$24.68
Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+27.5%+$44.69
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.96
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-47.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonfim vs. Padillabacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.92
Duncan vs. Tuliobacked Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24.71
Barcelos vs. Simonbacked Simon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+97.4%+$35.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.