UFC · resolved market
Duncan vs. Tulio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc3f476d4e4fe0ae7372e0a9fc052fd608ab03522f9993752fef2de10940642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duncanof Duncan, Tulio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Duncan | 40c | 14,247$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,487.12 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Tulio | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Duncan | 38c | 9,645$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.72 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Tulio | 23c | 7,878$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Tulio | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Tulio | 59c | 6,833$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,031.49 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Duncan | 40c | 4,717$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.09 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Tulio | 59c | 4,040$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Duncan | 40c | 3,927$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.51 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Tulio | 60c | 3,334$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.4 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Tulio | 62c | 3,333$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.46 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…b29dbacked Tulio | 1c | 3,306$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Tulio | 60c | 2,779$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.7 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tulio | 15c | 2,460$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.29 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tulio | 28c | 2,262$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.53 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tulio | 28c | 1,855$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.28 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Duncan | 77c | 1,845$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.69 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Tulio | 62c | 1,607$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Tulio | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tulio | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.89 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Duncan | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Duncan | 40c | 1,227$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.36 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Duncan | 42c | 1,049$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Tulio | 58c | 1,046$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.7 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Tulio | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Duncan | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Tulio | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Duncan | 37c | 943.22$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.23 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Duncan | 42c | 929.99$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.39 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…2b11backed Duncan | 41c | 913.18$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Duncan | 56c | 900$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.21 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Tulio | 58c | 829.31$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Duncan | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Duncan | 37c | 784.12$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.4 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Tulio | 60c | 776.07$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.64 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Duncan | 37c | 750.35$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.72 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Duncan | 38c | 660$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Duncan | 38c | 641.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Duncan | 40c | 629.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.01 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…2a93backed Tulio | 64c | 610.61$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Tulio | 58c | 600$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Tulio | 59c | 556.76$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.49 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Tulio | 64c | 547.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tulio | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Tulio | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Duncan | 41c | 490$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Duncan | 38c | 473.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Duncan | 42c | 452.64$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Duncan | 60c | 434.73$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Duncan | 39c | 408$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Duncan | 38c | 407$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tulio | 60c | 373$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Tulio | 60c | 355$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Tulio | 60c | 347.31$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.39 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…0077backed Tulio | 63c | 318.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Duncan | 38c | 310$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Duncan | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Tulio | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tulio | 60c | 238.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Duncan | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…c0b9backed Duncan | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a85fbacked Tulio | 63c | 234.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Duncan | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Duncan | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Duncan | 40c | 192.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Duncan | 36c | 188.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Tulio | 61c | 179.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Duncan | 38c | 176.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Tulio | 58c | 173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Tulio | 55c | 152.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Tulio | 60c | 152.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Duncan | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tulio | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Duncan | 42c | 147.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Duncan | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Duncan | 65c | 142$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Tulio | 61c | 127.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Duncan | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Tulio | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Duncan | 42c | 106.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…ef35backed Duncan | 39c | 104.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Duncan | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Tulio | 60c | 100.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Duncan | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Tulio | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Duncan | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…13b9backed Tulio | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Duncan | 39c | 97.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Duncan | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Tulio | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Duncan | 41c | 79.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Tulio | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…8fb9backed Duncan | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Duncan | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…2c0bbacked Tulio | 40c | 74.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked Tulio | 39c | 63.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Tulio | 55c | 58.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…77b1backed Duncan | 72c | 55.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…5b48backed Tulio | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…6d82backed Duncan | 57c | 52.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duncan vs. Tuliothis page
- Barcelos vs. SimonBarcelos won
- Bonfim vs. PadillaPadilla won
- Brown vs. BonfimBonfim won
- Bueno Silva vs. CavalcantiCavalcanti won
- Emmers vs. AmilEmmers won
- Hokit vs. GimenisHokit won
- Pennington vs. GomesGomes won
- Salikhov vs. MedicMedic won
- Schnell vs. MoralesMorales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.