TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7256…2c0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5667.9%38 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Will Jovan Leka win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.1
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.69
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ryan Gandra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Alessandro Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ivan Erslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.97
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$7.97
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.98
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Norma Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.05
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.26
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Tatiana Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Delano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$16.34
Youri Tielemans: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
Enner Valencia: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.