UFC · resolved market
UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0ef2dfbe3c5ed385a0df800b72d60fa2c207e51a3d213592e94cbd703229165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alessandro Costaof Cody Durden, Alessandro Costa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Alessandro Costa | 67c | 192,782$129,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,826.4 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cody Durden | 32c | 120,453$38,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,912.12 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cody Durden | 33c | 30,300$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Cody Durden | 33c | 15,152$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cody Durden | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cody Durden | 32c | 7,413$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.69 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cody Durden | 34c | 7,397$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.83 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Cody Durden | 32c | 7,114$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cody Durden | 33c | 5,193$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.99 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cody Durden | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Cody Durden | 32c | 4,500$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cody Durden | 33c | 4,040$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Alessandro Costa | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5ac7backed Alessandro Costa | 67c | 3,930$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.91 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Alessandro Costa | 69c | 3,413$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.52 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Alessandro Costa | 69c | 3,344$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.54 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Alessandro Costa | 67c | 2,798$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.19 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Cody Durden | 32c | 2,406$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.04 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Alessandro Costa | 68c | 2,346$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.6 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cody Durden | 31c | 2,150$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cody Durden | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Alessandro Costa | 65c | 1,951$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Cody Durden | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Alessandro Costa | 67c | 1,487$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.57 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Alessandro Costa | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…3624backed Cody Durden | 14c | 1,462$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cody Durden | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Cody Durden | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Cody Durden | 21c | 974.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cody Durden | 10c | 930.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Cody Durden | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Alessandro Costa | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Alessandro Costa | 66c | 744.91$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.27 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Alessandro Costa | 68c | 724.59$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.87 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alessandro Costa | 69c | 697.84$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cody Durden | 33c | 681.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Alessandro Costa | 68c | 600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Cody Durden | 33c | 590$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Cody Durden | 31c | 510$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Cody Durden | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Cody Durden | 31c | 455.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Alessandro Costa | 69c | 433.77$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cody Durden | 31c | 428.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Alessandro Costa | 71c | 422.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Alessandro Costa | 68c | 382.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cody Durden | 30c | 358.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Cody Durden | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Cody Durden | 30c | 337.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Cody Durden | 15c | 326.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Cody Durden | 33c | 300.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Alessandro Costa | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alessandro Costa | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…cd28backed Cody Durden | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Cody Durden | 15c | 222$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cody Durden | 20c | 213.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Alessandro Costa | 71c | 211.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Cody Durden | 33c | 204.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Alessandro Costa | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Cody Durden | 16c | 181.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Alessandro Costa | 66c | 159.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…e7cabacked Alessandro Costa | 67c | 157.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 110 | 78.2%86 W · 24 L | +15.6wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Alessandro Costa | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Alessandro Costa | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Alessandro Costa | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Alessandro Costa | 67c | 146.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Alessandro Costa | 68c | 146.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…1b3dbacked Alessandro Costa | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Cody Durden | 30c | 139.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Cody Durden | 17c | 134.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Cody Durden | 34c | 124.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Cody Durden | 31c | 120.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf698…3c36backed Alessandro Costa | 71c | 113.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Cody Durden | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Cody Durden | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Alessandro Costa | 77c | 102.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Cody Durden | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Alessandro Costa | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Cody Durden | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Alessandro Costa | 67c | 97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Cody Durden | 32c | 92.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…806fbacked Alessandro Costa | 68c | 88.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Cody Durden | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Alessandro Costa | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cody Durden | 28c | 78.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…9612backed Cody Durden | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cody Durden | 22c | 75.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…aff3backed Alessandro Costa | 66c | 74.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…f4e2backed Alessandro Costa | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 225 | 68.9%155 W · 70 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…d67bbacked Alessandro Costa | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cody Durden | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…f6fabacked Alessandro Costa | 68c | 67.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Cody Durden | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…a2bfbacked Cody Durden | 32c | 62.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Alessandro Costa | 68c | 61.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…e6d9backed Cody Durden | 31c | 60.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Cody Durden | 30c | 59.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Cody Durden | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…f54ebacked Alessandro Costa | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cody Durden | 28c | 50.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cody Durden | 33c | 50.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Alessandro Costa win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.