NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ecadd929c161ab1972628b27c1f8495c8dc3dcdb00533529b119e3d25e8d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,827,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,856,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,827,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 750 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Raptors | 45c | 592,854$267,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325,244.64 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Hawks | 55c | 483,583$265,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265,970.54 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…807cbacked Hawks | 55c | 100,573$55,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,315 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…e5c9backed Raptors | 45c | 100,150$45,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,082.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Raptors | 44c | 94,260$41,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,785.79 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hawks | 61c | 87,140$53,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,346.41 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawks | 39c | 80,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raptors | 46c | 33,474$15,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,235.27 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Hawks | 56c | 28,588$16,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,009.38 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Raptors | 44c | 28,000$12,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,680 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 56c | 27,503$15,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,401.58 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Hawks | 55c | 26,297$14,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,463.46 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Hawks | 55c | 25,545$14,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,049.75 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…98d4backed Hawks | 55c | 25,500$14,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,025 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…6a4dbacked Raptors | 45c | 25,500$11,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,025 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 54c | 22,759$12,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,330.28 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000.01 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Raptors | 34c | 20,000$6,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,163.87 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Hawks | 49c | 18,274$8,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,918.82 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Hawks | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Hawks | 49c | 16,000$7,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,790.16 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Hawks | 5c | 15,946$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.21 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 54c | 15,426$8,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,329.81 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Hawks | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Hawks | 19c | 14,447$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.59 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 54c | 14,313$7,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,683.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Hawks | 53c | 13,920$7,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,377.71 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 56c | 13,818$7,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,725.12 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…2a61backed Hawks | 77c | 13,200$10,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,164 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…7dd1backed Raptors | 23c | 13,200$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,164 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Raptors | 45c | 13,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Raptors | 16c | 12,200$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,248 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +241.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Raptors | 34c | 11,985$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,874.68 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Raptors | 45c | 11,052$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,058.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Hawks | 52c | 10,132$5,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,268.63 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Hawks | 0c | 10,063$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Raptors | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Hawks | 54c | 9,434$5,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,094.61 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd5…b91fbacked Hawks | 75c | 9,100$6,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,825 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…d0a0backed Raptors | 25c | 9,100$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,825 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Raptors | 48c | 8,888$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.76 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Raptors | 52c | 7,928$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.3 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146f…7cd0backed Hawks | 51c | 6,151$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…536cbacked Raptors | 49c | 6,143$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks | 52c | 6,078$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.41 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 55c | 5,800$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Raptors | 45c | 5,596$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.58 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Raptors | 44c | 5,593$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.92 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 55c | 5,456$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 49c | 5,417$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raptors | 46c | 5,370$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.98 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 26c | 5,180$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.6 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 52c | 5,000$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.79 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Raptors | 49c | 4,843$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.5 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks | 61c | 4,570$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.74 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hawks | 54c | 4,507$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.56 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks | 54c | 4,384$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.31 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 45c | 4,179$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.78 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…61eabacked Hawks | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb2…f1f0backed Raptors | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Hawks | 54c | 3,664$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.99 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Hawks | 48c | 3,599$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.52 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors | 41c | 3,542$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.12 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raptors | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.96 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Raptors | 46c | 3,438$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.9 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 58c | 3,420$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.47 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Raptors | 46c | 3,352$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.17 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Raptors | 52c | 3,212$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.54 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Raptors | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abd…a8c8backed Raptors | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Raptors | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Hawks | 55c | 2,783$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.09 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Hawks | 55c | 2,540$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.16 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hawks | 55c | 2,220$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.98 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Raptors | 45c | 2,200$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.95 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Raptors | 31c | 2,185$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.5 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Raptors | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Raptors | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Raptors | 45c | 2,150$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.49 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…becdbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,131$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…b657backed Raptors | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…81ddbacked Hawks | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 55c | 2,071$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.1 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hawks | 54c | 2,069$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.23 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b83…4e6dbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,069$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Raptors | 52c | 2,052$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.43 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 46c | 2,052$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.6 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…99b3backed Raptors | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…b932backed Hawks | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…357abacked Hawks | 53c | 2,015$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Raptors | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Hawks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked Raptors | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Raptors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9ae0backed Hawks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8408…0a24backed Hawks | 53c | 1,981$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…604abacked Hawks | 53c | 1,975$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Hawksthis page
- Raptors vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.