TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,028 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Under30c876.72$263 inLost-$263.0286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over69c821.59$570 inWon+$251.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c359.5$111 inLost-$111.453,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Under34c352.94$120 inLost-$12028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Over66c330$218 inWon+$112.22458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+284.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c298.29$92 inLost-$91.653,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over70c278$195 inWon+$83.465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over70c119$83 inWon+$35.734751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over59c99.99$59 inWon+$40.9913850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under41c78.72$32 inLost-$31.981,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Over70c72$50 inWon+$21.627744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon+$21.4320539%80 W · 125 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over62c70$43 inWon+$26.91,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Over70c69.44$49 inWon+$20.8320056%112 W · 88 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa683…6692backed Over70c69.44$49 inWon+$20.8314351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon+$15.4512860.2%77 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cad…6285backed Over70c42.86$30 inWon+$12.861376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under38c40$15 inLost-$15.22,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under34c39.24$13 inLost-$13.2586656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1594…a834backed Over69c36.23$25 inWon+$11.239454.3%51 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Under39c30$12 inLost-$11.745472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7256…2c0bbacked Over63c20.63$13 inWon+$7.631154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over67c17.64$12 inWon+$5.821,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.