Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aff589a606645965abaa8c3afcb0792b38a4f868f2921f2c04108a9dfed0ecc

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,885 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under	53c	4,678$2,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,457.99	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	51c	2,922$1,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.05	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under	50c	2,828$1,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,414	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over	48c	2,206$1,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,154.25	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Over	50c	1,816$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.54	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over	49c	1,135$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.73	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over	49c	1,087$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.73	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over	47c	1,053$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.19	296	36.1%107 W · 189 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.94	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under	51c	1,017$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.99	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	49c	922.28$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.26	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under	51c	842$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.42	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over	48c	833.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.33	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Over	48c	400$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under	52c	366.15$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	83	36.1%30 W · 53 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd452…51bbbacked Over	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under	51c	293.8$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.84	324	44.1%143 W · 181 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over	48c	283$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.16	241	48.1%116 W · 125 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under	46c	264.6$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.72	364	48.6%177 W · 187 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over	39c	247.89$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.37	345	33.6%116 W · 229 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	52c	224.07$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.54	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	47c	217.26$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.11	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	432	46.8%202 W · 230 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	115	66.1%76 W · 39 L	+10.8wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	116	44%51 W · 65 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	167.9$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.31	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over	49c	167.61$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	226	34.1%77 W · 149 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over	48c	156.25$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.25	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over	48c	102.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.08	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb83e…9f42backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	101	32.7%33 W · 68 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	218	46.8%102 W · 116 L	+19.9wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over	48c	93.75$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.75	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a3…baf7backed Over	49c	91$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.41	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	52c	68.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.28	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over	47c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.8	559	42.4%237 W · 322 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	49c	54.43$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.76	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…e1b0backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under	50c	46.88$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.44	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under	40c	42.88$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.27	190	64.2%122 W · 68 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	47c	42.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.77	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	404	35.6%144 W · 260 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe05c…6ac6backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	33	72.7%24 W · 9 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6f6…610abacked Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	48c	36.67$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.07	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over	57c	34.95$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.95	221	47.1%104 W · 117 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf13…3366backed Over	50c	34.18$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.18	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	66c	34.13$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	306	42.8%131 W · 175 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over	47c	31.62$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.76	96	38.5%37 W · 59 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under	49c	31.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.37	401	63.3%254 W · 147 L	+57.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfb57…e52ebacked Over	48c	30.94$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.09	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	282	51.4%145 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x620d…a2f2backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	143	74.8%107 W · 36 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd09…3264backed Under	54c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.22per pick	53cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	52c	25.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…8294backed Over	48c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	52c	24.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under	52c	22.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	305	47.2%144 W · 161 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2b…7108backed Over	53c	22.64$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x598e…755dbacked Under	54c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	345	51.9%179 W · 166 L	+17.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	116	59.5%69 W · 47 L	+13.1wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe15…c560backed Under	52c	19.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Take First CornerMexico won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event