Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a19730d665d418c96c64c1c14292b37a3a2d9eef9cce060ac3575f0895e90c

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,879 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x94d7…bef5backed Over	22c	22,459$4,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,911.71	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Under	68c	8,094$5,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,590.18	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under	62c	4,680$2,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,778.22	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over	38c	3,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.99	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Over	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under	62c	1,625$1,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.94	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	13c	1,115$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.95	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under	40c	1,091$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.22	401	63.3%254 W · 147 L	+57.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	13c	991$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.83	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Under	68c	913.01$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.15	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	52c	814.97$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.47	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63fa…04e0backed Over	65c	769.73$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over	14c	732.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	43%65 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over	38c	731.58$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over	56c	720.65$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+8.6wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under	68c	714.71$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.71	132	61.4%81 W · 51 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	13c	703$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.39	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Over	50c	402.6$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.29	254	45.3%115 W · 139 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Under	49c	399.98$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.99	135	54.8%74 W · 61 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	23c	386.34$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.52	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	37c	369.62$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.76	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under	62c	308.45$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.21	324	44.1%143 W · 181 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under	13c	273.1$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.14	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2957…1f62backed Over	38c	263.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	48cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Under	68c	229.41$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.41	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+6.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	53c	218.33$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.67	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	60c	213.43$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.86	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff8e…1438backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4450…381cbacked Over	36c	165$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	42c	159.61$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.04	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under	64c	158.37$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.92	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over	13c	153.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf35f…605cbacked Under	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.3wins	+0.24per pick	55cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa808…04cebacked Under	42c	128.76$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.88	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2ea2backed Under	78c	116.75$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.89	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under	56c	105.66$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.03	345	33.6%116 W · 229 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2882…c53dbacked Over	57c	104.01$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.29	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-40%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Over	33c	99.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	57	21.1%12 W · 45 L	-4.8wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Over	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Over	10c	99.61$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…034bbacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	36c	92.78$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over	57c	88.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	195	47.7%93 W · 102 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over	72c	86.87$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.55	329	59.6%196 W · 133 L	+21.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad1…35d0backed Over	23c	86.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-55%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x841a…61adbacked Over	37c	81.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	147	46.9%69 W · 78 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…5e57backed Over	49c	71.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	404	35.6%144 W · 260 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4801…6de9backed Under	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+3.4wins	+0.31per pick	60cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	114	38.6%44 W · 70 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f1…885dbacked Under	67c	45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	116	44.8%52 W · 64 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Under	63c	41.54$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.31	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a42…6338backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	45c	35.15$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over	56c	33.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	177	60.5%107 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over	79c	27.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.53	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under	59c	25.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.55	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…8071backed Under	62c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.5	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	49c	24.41$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.45	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over	68c	23.37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Over	62c	23.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb57…e52ebacked Over	51c	21.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.93	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc972…c7b8backed Over	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	131	38.9%51 W · 80 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0297…e67fbacked Under	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	48	70.8%34 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Take First CornerMexico won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event