TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033f…618ebacked Over43c21,659$9,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,357.9965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over46c18,390$8,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,425.415745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under57c17,769$10,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,701.724058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Under57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30014449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under53c6,184$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.834357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over42c5,805$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.062,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c4,962$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.362,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under53c3,399$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.6686452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Over48c3,250$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.757346.6%34 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under56c3,021$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.1385851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under55c1,983$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under55c1,869$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.0561750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over42c1,647$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.141,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b97…0efebacked Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Over44c1,398$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.8927554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a7…63f1backed Under56c1,120$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Over41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4108151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Over41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4103363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45023251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under55c906$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.714134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under54c900$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41739951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under55c810.91$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.9119250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under55c805.24$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3426155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeec…05d8backed Under55c778.64$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.391369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick40cpaid+117.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under53c767.25$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2122634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under56c749.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5733154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under55c658.17$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.21,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over45c631.31$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.872,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c596.89$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.673,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under55c525.45$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.457761%47 W · 30 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20519251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056157.4%35 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Over44c500$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2057945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c457$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.512,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18067354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c381.27$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.113,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under57c375.89$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.73,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Over42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10522243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Over42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c235$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.912,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c235$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.912,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under55c220.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4416546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over26c180.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9619713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c164.69$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.223,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Over42c163.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5411746.2%54 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Under73c131.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2713247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over40c114$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020539%80 W · 125 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over46c102.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1713551.1%69 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over19c92.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.261,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Over42c87.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.894146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under61c79.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9837747.7%180 W · 197 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa95c…1b63backed Under56c78.21$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over44c76.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.021,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under59c74.64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.191,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under59c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.982,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.455942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under56c56.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8336448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fc…022bbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259129.7%27 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Over40c50.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.199144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x570b…0bfebacked Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233476.5%26 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc295…66c8backed Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32576%19 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.715252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Over33c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.316319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over41c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6342640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under56c38.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8378559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8f…34b4backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7816861.3%103 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Under54c19.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1713956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.