Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcad81a8fd322667f674be7a22a93cc459a709d8c47bc6c578d8359c46e59dc95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked Over | 55c | 854.45$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 792.02$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 756.04$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.45 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 684.6$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.92 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 24c | 638.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 24c | 619.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 57c | 408.77$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.77 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 56c | 408.77$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…51bbbacked Over | 57c | 350.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 42c | 332.07$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d35…bd2cbacked Over | 76c | 269.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…cf2abacked Over | 61c | 183.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Under | 23c | 182.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 43c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 43c | 73.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 43c | 64.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…4a25backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…a834backed Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 39c | 40.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9447…c171backed Over | 60c | 33.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…3987backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 30.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d0…2963backed Over | 76c | 29.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…2b80backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Take First CornerMexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.