TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Over50c9,793$4,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,911.252,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over51c6,597$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,208.4415745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under50c4,870$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.1934357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c4,468$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.092,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over49c4,000$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.3529633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under49c3,758$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.1746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c2,552$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.512,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over50c2,278$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under50c2,192$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.1414349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00da…d262backed Under49c1,535$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7558045%36 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c1,473$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.331,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under48c1,427$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6853868.4%26 W · 12 L+7.5wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+39.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Under48c1,360$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6534944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4789443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under49c1,167$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5727761%47 W · 30 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under49c1,090$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53419250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under49c995.22$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.6616546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Under48c970.83$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4661450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c843$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.2137959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under50c738.02$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.426155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35014243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c699.98$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.843,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Over50c699.76$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3427554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over52c652$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.912,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under51c636.78$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7685851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c620.62$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.963,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007656.6%43 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Under50c451$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.524148.1%116 W · 125 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under48c416.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9422634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under52c392.52$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1126047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over51c361$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.291,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under51c299.76$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8836448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c265$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.552,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13032044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7d…058fbacked Under51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.53441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over47c249.98$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9913850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under49c249.3$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6233154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed Under49c241.94$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.552958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under54c227.27$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.177051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Over52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under50c207.4$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.729154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011566.1%76 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over46c199.97$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.991,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3126424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.168550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under48c179.77$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.491,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Over50c150.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1511746.2%54 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under53c145.9$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7230547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over50c142.44$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2210952.3%57 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3396…2448backed Over45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c136$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.922,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f1a1backed Under49c111$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.391136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick64cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under66c105.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4448055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a08…08b7backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.179934.3%34 W · 65 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018538.9%72 W · 113 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5169534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under51c97.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcbe…8ac8backed Under52c95.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over48c93.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5928149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c68…d4ffbacked Under52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over64c74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6438960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under50c67.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.772,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.023,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020539%80 W · 125 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.655942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x337a…8f18backed Over42c59.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.646043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Over48c58.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3415448.1%74 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under63c57.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Under51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1823363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under53c48.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8379149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under54c43.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.529556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under51c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9141551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under53c39.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9745548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffda…c1fcbacked Under49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.113372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba5d…230ebacked Over62c38.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fc…db71backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc221…1ed3backed Over64c37.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4311053.6%59 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Over48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.689144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Under62c32.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.957254.2%39 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1322452.7%118 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5928251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ee…7a99backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.857945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4068…673ebacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.237352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over51c24.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3286656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Over50c24.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2116153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3715…9d3abacked Over49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.736157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c22.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d0…bf9dbacked Over48c22.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under51c21.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.237747.7%180 W · 197 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over49c21.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6721858.7%128 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under54c21.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2918761%114 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over51c20.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.