Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x811c82c161590c1380e352e5593121ebd97ca2088a00edb51f004866b2aa9a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 57c | 2,150$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.23 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 40c | 1,433$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.63 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Over | 56c | 1,315$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.5 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 1,250$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.77 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 43c | 775.91$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.27 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 726.69$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 678.17$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Over | 56c | 432.84$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 43c | 378.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…b24bbacked Under | 44c | 225.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 227 | 31.3%71 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 171.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.63 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Over | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Under | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…4a25backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Over | 57c | 72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Under | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…2b98backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…025fbacked Over | 56c | 42.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…e1b0backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x035e…1e57backed Over | 54c | 31.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…2b80backed Over | 65c | 30.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 57c | 29.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…1e6bbacked Over | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Over | 58c | 25.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Over | 58c | 23.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Take First CornerMexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.