Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1068c2311db8a3b4daf45b8e2be3510d5e3876713ce3b9654e32033da413f1da

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x94d7…bef5backed Over	6c	2,819$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.69	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under	48c	1,651$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.8	401	63.3%254 W · 147 L	+57.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Over	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	12c	1,374$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.89	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Over	42c	1,192$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.37	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	12c	1,074$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.9	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over	9c	1,070$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	43%65 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	12c	1,069$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.34	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over	7c	1,012$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.81	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Over	9c	698.85$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.9	313	58.1%182 W · 131 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	52c	620.08$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.07	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878f…f856backed Over	12c	600$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b6…022cbacked Over	53c	566.04$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Over	33c	555.31$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.26	200	31%62 W · 138 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	15c	548.45$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.97	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	32c	424.98$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.37	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e13…0c61backed Over	54c	408.71$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.24	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…f422backed Over	9c	382.56$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.43	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under	63c	357.13$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.14	324	44.1%143 W · 181 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3d…2fd7backed Over	14c	320.71$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.59	103	35%36 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Over	11c	280.42$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	235	29.8%70 W · 165 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Over	18c	252.78$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.6	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Under	76c	247.98$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.98	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over	11c	222.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	215	25.1%54 W · 161 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over	8c	221.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	226	34.1%77 W · 149 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ce…78a9backed Over	22c	206.06$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…d019backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Over	26c	192.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.65	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x851f…642fbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	44.8%78 W · 96 L	-10.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x402c…e2e7backed Over	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	21c	157.84$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x159d…5de0backed Over	47c	106.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-40%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ef99backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8503…abddbacked Under	70c	99.73$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.92	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x337a…8f18backed Over	50c	98.09$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.05	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Under	72c	92.12$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.79	329	59.6%196 W · 133 L	+21.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda7b…eef9backed Over	21c	91.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over	40c	91.32$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.53	134	43.3%58 W · 76 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under	60c	90.76$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.64	215	65.1%140 W · 75 L	+16.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf5f…8274backed Under	58c	88.92$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	53c	74.39$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.02	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Under	50c	72.21$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.01	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x055c…6a54backed Over	50c	72$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under	61c	69.98$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.14	514	58.8%302 W · 212 L	+25.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc9…5f65backed Under	77c	61.39$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.96	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Over	57c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7668…9db2backed Over	27c	56.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	115	40%46 W · 69 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a94…a328backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	107	23.4%25 W · 82 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x841a…61adbacked Over	44c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	147	46.9%69 W · 78 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	69c	43.71$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over	54c	42.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb5…8353backed Over	28c	42.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9fb…a3bdbacked Over	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffcb…2968backed Under	73c	39.81$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.81	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Under	71c	37.95$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	75c	37.15$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.11	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Under	57c	32.98$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.03	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+13.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88b3…f594backed Under	55c	27.04$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under	52c	27.02$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.97	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c75…16cebacked Over	54c	24.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	103	36.9%38 W · 65 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccc1…9fe1backed Under	73c	19.44$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under	79c	18.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.03	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Take First CornerMexico won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event