TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under66c407.68$269 inLost-$269.0723251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over34c352.02$120 inWon+$232.332,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over34c217.63$74 inWon+$143.642,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under62c134.58$84 inLost-$83.533,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over39c128.2$50 inWon+$78.29535.8%34 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under63c125.64$79 inLost-$78.693,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under61c105.12$64 inLost-$64.121,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c101.49$47 inWon+$54.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under60c83.98$50 inLost-$50.053,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf751…65ccbacked Over67c74.37$50 inWon+$24.379949.5%49 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under26c72.71$19 inLost-$19.2380225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Over39c70$27 inWon+$42.71526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under31c65.94$21 inLost-$20.6940163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under61c64.99$40 inLost-$39.642,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Over39c62.5$24 inWon+$38.1216052.5%84 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under63c40$25 inLost-$25.22,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under64c31.33$20 inLost-$19.931,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under64c29.99$19 inLost-$19.0486656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c27.99$16 inLost-$16.373,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2b…451dbacked Over70c25.64$18 inWon+$7.698658.1%50 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.