TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa23f…7f29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT15745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$48.64
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.33
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$416.41
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.65
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$107.8
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.38
Portugal vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$135.2
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$49.72
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$47.62
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.08
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.22
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.28
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,061.83
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,081.31
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.19
Senegal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$235.2
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,285.92
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.93
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,067.55
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,845.57
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Praggnanandhaa R vs. Fabiano Caruana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$85.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$55.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Mandatory vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$42.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$73.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.