CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce1ac608b39235a640cee7069713448716cf7882ed2d1438024588a909943438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof STATE, OlyBet SB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f32…b46cbacked OlyBet SB | 38c | 759$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…cfebbacked OlyBet SB | 37c | 669.89$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8fd8backed OlyBet SB | 38c | 647.71$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…a454backed STATE | 63c | 512.73$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked STATE | 62c | 494.9$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed STATE | 69c | 464.79$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…b9c6backed STATE | 62c | 395$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 48cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…98e0backed OlyBet SB | 39c | 378$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OlyBet SB | 8c | 337.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907f…cee9backed OlyBet SB | 37c | 319.47$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…3af0backed OlyBet SB | 38c | 314.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d3…52d9backed OlyBet SB | 38c | 311.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…cd1cbacked OlyBet SB | 39c | 303.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…a528backed OlyBet SB | 38c | 264.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb86…ed65backed OlyBet SB | 37c | 263.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8018…125dbacked STATE | 62c | 262$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…8664backed STATE | 61c | 254.32$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…b7debacked STATE | 62c | 253.37$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…75f5backed OlyBet SB | 35c | 252$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…6219backed OlyBet SB | 39c | 239.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06c…c231backed OlyBet SB | 38c | 239.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…9eeebacked STATE | 61c | 237.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7078…2210backed OlyBet SB | 38c | 235.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…a11abacked STATE | 62c | 224$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e679backed STATE | 63c | 217$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed OlyBet SB | 32c | 202.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…8314backed STATE | 66c | 190.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…11d1backed OlyBet SB | 39c | 190.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed STATE | 62c | 189$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dad…4e35backed STATE | 63c | 186$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2448…86d3backed STATE | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…e600backed OlyBet SB | 37c | 153$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…760dbacked STATE | 63c | 151$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a04…9200backed STATE | 62c | 149.85$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +372.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…866dbacked STATE | 61c | 147.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a832backed STATE | 65c | 144.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…f97cbacked STATE | 62c | 136$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…4a68backed STATE | 62c | 135.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 67c | 129.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…e913backed STATE | 62c | 123$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed STATE | 62c | 121.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1403…6c62backed STATE | 61c | 118.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…c569backed STATE | 62c | 107$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…9d9cbacked STATE | 63c | 107$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…8789backed STATE | 65c | 103.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…8ed6backed STATE | 63c | 99.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…2d8cbacked OlyBet SB | 35c | 98.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 95.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked OlyBet SB | 32c | 93.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…c352backed STATE | 61c | 91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed OlyBet SB | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OlyBet SB | 30c | 88.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…0a04backed STATE | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed OlyBet SB | 30c | 64.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…4accbacked STATE | 61c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…ad9cbacked STATE | 61c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…ab70backed STATE | 63c | 51.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…e05fbacked STATE | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…627cbacked STATE | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…38e9backed STATE | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 46.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9072…efb8backed STATE | 62c | 42.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed STATE | 69c | 36.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked STATE | 68c | 29.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed STATE | 73c | 24.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked STATE | 68c | 14.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed STATE | 68c | 14.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.