TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0633…0d5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Counter-Strike: STATE vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Cbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$188.06
Counter-Strike: Qual4 vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$72.8
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Last Bullet (BO3) - MaceMedia VOID Cup Playoffsbacked Last Bullet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Wanted Goons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.9
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MINLATE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.96
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$147.9
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+160.2%+$109.58
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$49.92
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Back to Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$165.2
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$282.46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Tricked (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$173.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+118.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: San Diego Gulls vs. Abbotsford Canucksbacked Abbotsford Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$375.84
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Torpedobacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$129.32
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$147.4
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.08
Utah vs. Starsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$87.36
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-57.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Istanbul: Donna Vekic vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.12
Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$90.16
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.