NHL · resolved market
AHL: San Diego Gulls vs. Abbotsford Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95933365e51ff988f5ab770c58bc08a7c983f21c5f17829d35d66561b70b97da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abbotsford Canucksof San Diego Gulls, Abbotsford Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c2b…a454backed Abbotsford Canucks | 42c | 838$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed San Diego Gulls | 58c | 677$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 42c | 648$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…4a68backed San Diego Gulls | 58c | 447$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…b9c6backed Abbotsford Canucks | 42c | 440$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8fd8backed San Diego Gulls | 58c | 365$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…012bbacked San Diego Gulls | 58c | 201$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…ab70backed San Diego Gulls | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…e913backed Abbotsford Canucks | 42c | 159$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…8789backed San Diego Gulls | 58c | 109$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…5482backed San Diego Gulls | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e16…900dbacked San Diego Gulls | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Diego Gulls | 57c | 38.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Abbotsford Canucks | 68c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.