Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fbcff2d29fc12b6af908c806bc521e0d8ce2079ed832601335b348edb310ff7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof AVULUS, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,510 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked AVULUS | 63c | 5,000$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.02 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked AVULUS | 27c | 2,367$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.67 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 2,303$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.85 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed AVULUS | 31c | 2,250$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.17 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked AVULUS | 38c | 2,044$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.17 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked AVULUS | 28c | 2,007$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.08 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 1,632$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.95 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 1,464$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.06 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked AVULUS | 33c | 1,304$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.32 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed AVULUS | 6c | 1,235$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed AVULUS | 35c | 1,084$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.16 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 1,000$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 899.98$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 834.8$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.29 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AVULUS | 38c | 729.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 670.02$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.02 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed AVULUS | 40c | 636.9$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.64 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed AVULUS | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed AVULUS | 28c | 604.61$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked AVULUS | 37c | 564.15$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 555$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 550.97$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.27 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 520$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked AVULUS | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 411.94$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed AVULUS | 31c | 398.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked AVULUS | 31c | 343.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed AVULUS | 28c | 330.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed AVULUS | 33c | 313.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…9b0ebacked AVULUS | 32c | 284.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 261.58$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…d991backed AVULUS | 36c | 250.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AVULUS | 42c | 240.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed AVULUS | 49c | 233.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 214.37$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…a821backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 209.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked AVULUS | 46c | 206$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 205$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed AVULUS | 40c | 201.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked AVULUS | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked AVULUS | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 190.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed AVULUS | 44c | 183.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 177.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 173.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed AVULUS | 30c | 167.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked AVULUS | 31c | 162.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed AVULUS | 29c | 152.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 137.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed AVULUS | 39c | 132$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 119.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…21c2backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 115.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed AVULUS | 45c | 109.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 106$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked AVULUS | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 103.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed AVULUS | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AVULUS | 27c | 98.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed AVULUS | 38c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked AVULUS | 32c | 93.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…3ff2backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 82.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed AVULUS | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked AVULUS | 26c | 76.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed AVULUS | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed AVULUS | 26c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 60.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 59.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3961…6cb5backed AVULUS | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 58.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 57.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…cd21backed AVULUS | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked AVULUS | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed AVULUS | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…0569backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 49.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked AVULUS | 32c | 46.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 46.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked AVULUS | 33c | 46.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 45.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 43.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…3767backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 41.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 36.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 35.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed AVULUS | 31c | 33.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerAVULUS won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs AVULUS (+1.5)AVULUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.