Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: AVULUS vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ef64c43a166727ac6af7c69e311903e6854a8919e043b33858b1b5bbdbec2ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof AVULUS, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,613 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed AVULUS | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed AVULUS | 0c | 7,047$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed AVULUS | 41c | 2,800$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed VP.Prodigy | 60c | 2,152$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.64 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked VP.Prodigy | 37c | 1,387$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed AVULUS | 63c | 1,387$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a0a4backed AVULUS | 48c | 1,182$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VP.Prodigy | 66c | 1,118$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.96 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed AVULUS | 38c | 741.22$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 730.46$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed VP.Prodigy | 65c | 651.5$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.87 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked AVULUS | 41c | 624$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked VP.Prodigy | 62c | 537.96$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…515cbacked VP.Prodigy | 43c | 534$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked VP.Prodigy | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.46 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…0a94backed VP.Prodigy | 59c | 486$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 485.79$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed VP.Prodigy | 58c | 465.77$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed AVULUS | 34c | 455.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…1d0abacked AVULUS | 57c | 444$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…e813backed VP.Prodigy | 46c | 438$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed VP.Prodigy | 53c | 432.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed AVULUS | 60c | 382.64$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 66c | 381.79$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed VP.Prodigy | 63c | 368.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…627cbacked VP.Prodigy | 61c | 364$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 362.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.94 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…6d77backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 362$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed VP.Prodigy | 64c | 346.36$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…5054backed AVULUS | 54c | 342$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…b529backed AVULUS | 38c | 342$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…8314backed VP.Prodigy | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…012bbacked VP.Prodigy | 60c | 302$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked AVULUS | 50c | 300.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…e05fbacked VP.Prodigy | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06c…c231backed AVULUS | 44c | 296$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…cfebbacked VP.Prodigy | 62c | 294$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed AVULUS | 49c | 271$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8c…1e4dbacked AVULUS | 38c | 271$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…8664backed VP.Prodigy | 62c | 271$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…f2f9backed AVULUS | 59c | 267$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed AVULUS | 60c | 265.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…97eabacked AVULUS | 39c | 265$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed AVULUS | 58c | 263.67$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907f…cee9backed AVULUS | 36c | 260$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…e685backed VP.Prodigy | 56c | 254$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…3af0backed AVULUS | 39c | 251$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…72afbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 242$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…5700backed AVULUS | 44c | 242$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd8…4881backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 239.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…ab70backed VP.Prodigy | 56c | 237$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked VP.Prodigy | 65c | 227.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1370…4637backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 224$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed AVULUS | 56c | 220.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed AVULUS | 35c | 214.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed AVULUS | 39c | 209.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e16…900dbacked AVULUS | 40c | 206$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked VP.Prodigy | 63c | 204$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9c…ca4fbacked AVULUS | 57c | 196.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed AVULUS | 47c | 189.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…0a04backed VP.Prodigy | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed AVULUS | 56c | 172.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed VP.Prodigy | 67c | 170$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…a11abacked AVULUS | 40c | 168$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…98e0backed VP.Prodigy | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 149.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked AVULUS | 61c | 147.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…38e9backed VP.Prodigy | 60c | 142$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 138.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…97d6backed VP.Prodigy | 59c | 137$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb80…4b74backed AVULUS | 40c | 134$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…2d8cbacked AVULUS | 40c | 134$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…c04dbacked AVULUS | 63c | 129$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +227.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked VP.Prodigy | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…a528backed AVULUS | 40c | 124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339c…99a9backed VP.Prodigy | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed AVULUS | 40c | 108.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 101.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…af00backed VP.Prodigy | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…05cebacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdb…8397backed AVULUS | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…1270backed AVULUS | 39c | 98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy | 57c | 97.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…7a16backed AVULUS | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…5476backed AVULUS | 59c | 94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc051…a277backed AVULUS | 63c | 94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…d06bbacked AVULUS | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6353…cfcbbacked AVULUS | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…f5dfbacked AVULUS | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked VP.Prodigy | 50c | 85.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed VP.Prodigy | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed AVULUS | 60c | 82.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33e…c742backed AVULUS | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d3…52d9backed VP.Prodigy | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked AVULUS | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed VP.Prodigy | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed VP.Prodigy | 66c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked AVULUS | 62c | 77.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.