CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd537741a2535075ee665bc82590e6ce6415ef4f63158b39e3d5e9ca237f6c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- F5 Esportsof F5 Esports, Wanted Goons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,252 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked F5 Esports | 68c | 2,187$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.42 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wanted Goons | 46c | 553.24$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.05 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wanted Goons | 44c | 477.45$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Wanted Goons | 23c | 368.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…695dbacked F5 Esports | 45c | 343$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked Wanted Goons | 55c | 298$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…a098backed Wanted Goons | 55c | 292$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked F5 Esports | 53c | 244.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…9acebacked Wanted Goons | 55c | 221$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8fd8backed F5 Esports | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed F5 Esports | 58c | 203.14$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wanted Goons | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wanted Goons | 28c | 174$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Wanted Goons | 21c | 162.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Wanted Goons | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…75f5backed F5 Esports | 45c | 128$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Wanted Goons | 51c | 119.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Wanted Goons | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Wanted Goons | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Wanted Goons | 48c | 104.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…5482backed F5 Esports | 45c | 93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Wanted Goons | 46c | 90.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Wanted Goons | 37c | 81.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…556dbacked F5 Esports | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Wanted Goons | 33c | 59.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Wanted Goons | 28c | 58.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed F5 Esports | 42c | 58.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7b…5091backed F5 Esports | 73c | 54.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wanted Goons | 36c | 51.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…a528backed Wanted Goons | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Wanted Goons | 68c | 49.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked F5 Esports | 35c | 42.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…953abacked F5 Esports | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…64f4backed F5 Esports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…e8ccbacked Wanted Goons | 59c | 32.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Wanted Goons | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked F5 Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed F5 Esports | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…29ebbacked F5 Esports | 78c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Wanted Goons | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.