TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe36b…64f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$15.61
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Morelia: Andres Andrade vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$5.25
Sao Paulo: Alex Barrena vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Split: Lukas Neumayer vs Juan Martinbacked Juan Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Alicante: Remy Bertola vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Dubrovnik: Anhelina Kalinina vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dubrovnik: Tena Lukas vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Tena Lukas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Split: Matej Dodig vs Christian Langmobacked Christian Langmo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Yokkaichi: Kaichi Uchida vs Fajing Sunbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Yokkaichi: Sho Shimabukuro vs Naoya Hondabacked Naoya Honda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Morelia: James Duckworth vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Morelia: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Keegan Smithbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$6.58
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (W)backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats (W)backed Abilene Christian Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$9.13
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Monmouth Hawks vs. Cleveland State Vikings (W)backed Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (W)backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Binghamton Bearcats vs. La Salle Explorers (W)backed Binghamton Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.16
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.58
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.65
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: SaD Esports vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.