Tennis · resolved market
Morelia: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Keegan Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f92b64115729684acf2e5872405095bf80742323b893401ad30057fa56b1eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shintaro Mochizukiof Shintaro Mochizuki, Keegan Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,599 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 4,704$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.17 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 24c | 3,107$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.52 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Keegan Smith | 50c | 2,892$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.25 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keegan Smith | 54c | 2,779$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.6 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 42c | 2,203$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.11 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Keegan Smith | 54c | 2,146$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.93 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Keegan Smith | 67c | 1,866$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.8 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ed…f76ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 32c | 1,815$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 1,638$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.32 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Keegan Smith | 51c | 1,598$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.05 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 1,222$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.05 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 932.99$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.87 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 17c | 809.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.35 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Keegan Smith | 39c | 800.5$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.95 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 707.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,673 | 53%887 W · 786 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Keegan Smith | 71c | 700.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 670.3$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 32c | 642.05$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.27 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Keegan Smith | 67c | 594.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.03 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 32c | 545.69$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.07 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 483.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 35c | 426.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Keegan Smith | 72c | 418.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Keegan Smith | 23c | 370$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…400bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 312.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keegan Smith | 24c | 302$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Keegan Smith | 37c | 296.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Keegan Smith | 59c | 269$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 51c | 245$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Keegan Smith | 39c | 229.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 222.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 28c | 197.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Keegan Smith | 38c | 196.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 160.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 42c | 151.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 19c | 128.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…f55cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 15c | 101.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 42c | 99.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 33c | 99.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 96.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 92.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Keegan Smith | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 43c | 86.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Keegan Smith | 74c | 83.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 41c | 77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 32c | 68.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 68.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Keegan Smith | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Keegan Smith | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Keegan Smith | 38c | 65.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 64.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 63.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Keegan Smith | 44c | 56.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Keegan Smith | 55c | 56.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 42c | 52.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 46.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…64f4backed Keegan Smith | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Keegan Smith | 38c | 43.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 40.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Keegan Smith | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…e95ebacked Keegan Smith | 57c | 36.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 29.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 71c | 28.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 28.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb321…6781backed Keegan Smith | 55c | 26.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 41c | 24.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…fa04backed Keegan Smith | 66c | 23.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Keegan Smith | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed Keegan Smith | 57c | 21.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…5f86backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe894…d8dfbacked Keegan Smith | 58c | 20.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Keegan Smith | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Keegan Smith | 61c | 19.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…e318backed Keegan Smith | 57c | 18.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 63c | 16.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.