Tennis · resolved market
Yokkaichi: Kaichi Uchida vs Fajing Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03958c910bcc669a942f86730963b783cfd8950e836400c330ae3e8d27257123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fajing Sunof Kaichi Uchida, Fajing Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Kaichi Uchida | 49c | 20,640$10,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,113.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fajing Sun | 56c | 15,742$8,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.72 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Kaichi Uchida | 17c | 5,757$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.57 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fajing Sun | 51c | 4,787$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.51 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kaichi Uchida | 38c | 1,469$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.18 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fajing Sun | 62c | 1,464$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.42 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kaichi Uchida | 23c | 1,301$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.39 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Kaichi Uchida | 3c | 1,280$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kaichi Uchida | 43c | 1,250$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.49 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Fajing Sun | 66c | 1,042$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.71 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Fajing Sun | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Kaichi Uchida | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd646…6832backed Fajing Sun | 57c | 572.81$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kaichi Uchida | 24c | 539.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kaichi Uchida | 43c | 525.25$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fajing Sun | 51c | 490.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…df9ebacked Kaichi Uchida | 23c | 470.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Kaichi Uchida | 10c | 470.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fajing Sun | 71c | 460.8$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Fajing Sun | 66c | 453.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Kaichi Uchida | 32c | 325$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Kaichi Uchida | 47c | 277.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kaichi Uchida | 43c | 272.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Fajing Sun | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kaichi Uchida | 31c | 202$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Kaichi Uchida | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fajing Sun | 57c | 194$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kaichi Uchida | 18c | 184.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Fajing Sun | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Fajing Sun | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…29b2backed Kaichi Uchida | 26c | 165.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kaichi Uchida | 45c | 143$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Fajing Sun | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -9.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Kaichi Uchida | 44c | 128.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kaichi Uchida | 22c | 118.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Kaichi Uchida | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Fajing Sun | 53c | 102.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Fajing Sun | 53c | 101$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kaichi Uchida | 43c | 90.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Kaichi Uchida | 30c | 80.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Kaichi Uchida | 43c | 78.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 351 | 32.2%113 W · 238 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Kaichi Uchida | 53c | 76.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Kaichi Uchida | 34c | 66.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Fajing Sun | 77c | 63.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Fajing Sun | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Fajing Sun | 79c | 58.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fajing Sun | 75c | 56.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Fajing Sun | 51c | 54.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…440fbacked Fajing Sun | 75c | 50.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kaichi Uchida | 45c | 45.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Kaichi Uchida | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0aa5backed Kaichi Uchida | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Kaichi Uchida | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Fajing Sun | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Fajing Sun | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 476 | 53.2%253 W · 223 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…145ebacked Kaichi Uchida | 28c | 39.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…768abacked Fajing Sun | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Fajing Sun | 56c | 34.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Fajing Sun | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Fajing Sun | 60c | 30.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Kaichi Uchida | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Kaichi Uchida | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Kaichi Uchida | 46c | 28.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…64f4backed Fajing Sun | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fajing Sun | 54c | 25.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Fajing Sun | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Kaichi Uchida | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Fajing Sun | 53c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Fajing Sun | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Fajing Sun | 78c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Fajing Sun | 74c | 13.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokkaichi: Kaichi Uchida vs Fajing Sunthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Uchida vs SunSun won
- Uchida vs. Sun: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.