Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x746ba3f75970717ca247a1ff01f1d047b1d680a228565a01d312a161469d96e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,941 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Rune Eaters | 2c | 12,524$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,680$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.54 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Lynx | 46c | 1,392$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.97 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 1,252$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.4 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…d34cbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 1,008$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Lynx | 57c | 992.97$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.98 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Lynx | 80c | 947.57$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.54 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Rune Eaters | 3c | 730.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 684.61$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 642.54$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.84 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 590.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.2 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Lynx | 59c | 544.72$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Lynx | 55c | 542.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 492.18$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.17 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 415$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.85 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Rune Eaters | 74c | 410.05$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.33 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 38c | 358.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Team Lynx | 37c | 339$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Lynx | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed Team Lynx | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Rune Eaters | 38c | 298.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 285.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Team Lynx | 54c | 275.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 270.22$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 252.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.04 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 249.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Team Lynx | 52c | 242.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 211.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 206.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Lynx | 49c | 205.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Lynx | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 197.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Team Lynx | 56c | 178.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…4dc4backed Team Lynx | 40c | 173.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 172.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 168.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…ac7dbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 167.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 159.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…b2cfbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 158.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Team Lynx | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Team Lynx | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 147.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 136.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Lynx | 20c | 129.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…244abacked Team Lynx | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 116.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 115$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 109.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Lynx | 55c | 105.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…76bbbacked Rune Eaters | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Lynx | 50c | 97.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Team Lynx | 75c | 95.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 95.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Team Lynx | 50c | 90.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Lynx | 58c | 89.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Team Lynx | 56c | 89.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 87.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Team Lynx | 48c | 82.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed Team Lynx | 38c | 81.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -59%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 79.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 78.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Team Lynx | 29c | 73.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 69.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Team Lynx | 56c | 62.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 58.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 58.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 49.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 48.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Lynx | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Team Lynx | 58c | 42.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 39.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…2f0dbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 38.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…a243backed Team Lynx | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…64f4backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Team Lynx | 50c | 36.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 35.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd8…487ebacked Team Lynx | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…3b39backed Team Lynx | 56c | 33.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 33.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…547fbacked Team Lynx | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Team Lynx | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Team Lynx | 61c | 29.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 29.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx | 62c | 26.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…8973backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 25.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 24.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.