TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Rockets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,064,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,064,967 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls80c364,555$291,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,050.5966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls64c111,574$71,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,340.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Rockets77c100,000$77,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,999.9611955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Rockets0c98,128$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.139220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Bulls47c97,638$45,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,860.3720744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x184f…05e5backed Bulls66c73,711$48,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,276.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls34c54,911$18,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,181.6948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls49c49,186$24,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,167.11,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Rockets47c42,240$19,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,838.985048%24 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Rockets41c40,000$16,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,549.9634456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Rockets58c36,080$20,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,928.3227251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets32c35,708$11,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,483.741,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets47c34,801$16,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,448.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets39c34,278$13,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,485.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls22c34,010$7,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,528.061,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets41c31,335$12,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,763.941,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets62c30,633$18,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,937.2442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bulls56c28,624$16,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,592.655,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd1…e532backed Rockets44c26,174$11,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,510.393268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets78c25,814$20,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,103.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Rockets0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Bulls23c21,739$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,739.133729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Rockets62c19,799$12,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,319.350241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Rockets40c19,774$7,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,82010952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Bulls41c19,334$7,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,441.4513642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Rockets44c19,303$8,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,423.2189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Rockets30c19,243$5,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,781.3436023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Rockets64c18,000$11,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,519.9710158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets27c17,336$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,645.421,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Bulls75c17,285$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,284.8712740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Rockets43c16,125$6,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,95935650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bulls41c15,030$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,905.1648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Bulls23c14,970$3,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,527.2227241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls23c14,933$3,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,571.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bulls23c11,498$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,853.6186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Rockets8c11,100$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88814663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Rockets78c10,600$8,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,226.5921549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Bulls23c10,515$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,096.692556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…43b4backed Rockets77c10,001$7,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,700.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Rockets57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.965352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Rockets41c9,951$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,124.7527865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Rockets44c9,923$4,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,345.6231345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Rockets21c9,471$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.396944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Rockets77c8,352$6,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,431.0429243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Rockets78c8,251$6,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,435.72665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Rockets77c8,120$6,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,252.1632540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bulls23c8,100$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,236.7265939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c02…4dc9backed Rockets0c8,048$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Bulls64c8,000$5,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.0328554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets32c7,816$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.021,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e0…1f91backed Bulls24c7,671$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,830.071735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Rockets0c7,600$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.18820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls30c7,500$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bulls30c7,500$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.941,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls51c7,486$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.443,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Rockets76c7,484$5,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,687.733177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Bulls23c7,473$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,749.3643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Bulls24c7,377$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,642.0212541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Bulls56c7,008$3,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.1676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets42c6,508$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,746.22,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets78c6,283$4,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,908.764,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56a…3072backed Bulls54c6,030$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.7811555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Rockets33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9918931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Rockets21c5,972$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2584040%16 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Rockets36c5,933$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.2238540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Rockets35c5,643$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.9830840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Rockets0c5,555$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.773179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Rockets31c5,548$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.232245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Rockets79c5,478$4,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,31134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Rockets49c5,373$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.395837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Rockets36c5,311$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.246940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Rockets52c5,233$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704.4293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Rockets29c5,232$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2a42backed Rockets45c5,226$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.919851%50 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Rockets57c5,189$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.459347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Rockets45c5,104$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.198225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Rockets77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Bulls20c5,000$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.8725947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets3c5,000$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.131,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc48…7294backed Rockets77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8501266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Rockets8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Rockets77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Bulls67c4,929$3,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.774573.3%33 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Bulls44c4,912$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.9831455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Bulls41c4,867$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.434231%13 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls45c4,810$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.293,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bdf…5233backed Rockets42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed Rockets42c4,707$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.914843.8%21 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Rockets68c4,607$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.87864.1%50 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Bulls46c4,600$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.149629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Bulls46c4,535$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.914953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Rockets36c4,515$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.8211342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Bulls20c4,508$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,616.5911241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd937…d226backed Bulls23c4,485$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.551643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls24c4,167$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.6724831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Rockets39c4,123$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.9824937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Bulls23c4,000$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.4512524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Rockets56c4,000$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.5611558.3%67 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Rockets39c3,990$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.999839.8%39 W · 59 L-12.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bulls23c3,928$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.991,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.