NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2290b52d89fe30cfae63b73734e03c83c3968d34606c4d76afcc9461c6e71f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Rockets, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,354 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Bulls | 53c | 123,835$65,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,202.62 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Rockets | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,200 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets | 47c | 23,179$10,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,894.03 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Rockets | 47c | 20,900$9,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,823 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 43c | 10,947$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets | 47c | 10,715$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.23 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Bulls | 53c | 7,930$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.1 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Rockets | 47c | 5,751$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 53c | 3,995$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 47c | 3,838$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bulls | 53c | 3,735$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.27 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 53c | 3,730$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.08 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 47c | 2,444$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Rockets | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 12c | 1,973$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Bulls | 54c | 1,961$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.11 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 46c | 1,314$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.3 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Rockets | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Rockets | 46c | 949.98$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Rockets | 47c | 570$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Bulls | 54c | 557$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.22 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Rockets | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Rockets | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…6967backed Rockets | 3c | 497.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 47c | 371.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Bulls | 52c | 356.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 47c | 243.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 46c | 201.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Rockets | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Rockets | 36c | 192.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Bulls | 54c | 185.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Rockets | 7c | 180.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…871fbacked Rockets | 56c | 178.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Rockets | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Bulls | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 41c | 156.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Rockets | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Rockets | 47c | 148$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ba…67e9backed Bulls | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rockets | 48c | 131$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…608cbacked Rockets | 48c | 131$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Rockets | 42c | 128.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Bulls | 54c | 122.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Bulls | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd66e…b743backed Bulls | 54c | 118.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Bulls | 54c | 118.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Rockets | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Rockets | 47c | 97.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bulls | 39c | 95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 47c | 90.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b03ebacked Bulls | 54c | 86.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Rockets | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…710ebacked Bulls | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Rockets | 47c | 73.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Rockets | 47c | 72.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Bulls | 54c | 64.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Rockets | 43c | 64.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Bulls | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Rockets | 46c | 63.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Rockets | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Rockets | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Bulls | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Bulls | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Bulls | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Bulls | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Rockets | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets | 43c | 52.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Bulls | 77c | 51.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Bulls | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…563bbacked Bulls | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Rockets | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Rockets | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7050…958ebacked Bulls | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Rockets | 46c | 45.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 47c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 47c | 42.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rockets | 47c | 39.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Rockets | 47c | 35.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…2139backed Rockets | 47c | 34.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Rockets | 47c | 33.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Rockets | 47c | 32.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Rockets | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Rockets | 47c | 31.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 180 | 60.6%109 W · 71 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…e816backed Bulls | 54c | 30.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…bcbdbacked Bulls | 54c | 26.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Bulls | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…2139backed Rockets | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Bulls | 52c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Bulls | 54c | 23.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…34efbacked Rockets | 47c | 23.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Rockets | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…22f4backed Bulls | 54c | 19.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…9b40backed Bulls | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Rockets vs. BullsBulls won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.