TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Rockets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,354 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59a0…9a09backed Bulls53c123,835$65,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,202.623560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Rockets47c60,000$28,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,20023147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets47c23,179$10,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,894.0352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Rockets47c20,900$9,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,82311241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets43c10,947$4,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,761.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets47c10,715$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.231,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Bulls53c7,930$4,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,727.112056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Rockets47c5,751$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Bulls53c3,995$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.51,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rockets47c3,838$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8041,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bulls53c3,735$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.271,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls53c3,730$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.081,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets47c2,444$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf303…5847backed Rockets47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockets12c1,973$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57f…4d74backed Bulls54c1,961$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.112871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets46c1,314$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Rockets47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Rockets46c949.98$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.994443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Rockets47c570$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.915240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Bulls54c557$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2248751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Rockets47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Rockets48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…6967backed Rockets3c497.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+57.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets47c371.86$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.772,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Bulls52c356.62$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1829351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets47c243.41$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.43,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets46c201.79$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.091,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Rockets47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9418143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Rockets36c192.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8251438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Bulls54c185.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3738152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Rockets7c180.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6221243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8698…871fbacked Rockets56c178.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Rockets47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Bulls52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rockets41c156.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.721,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Rockets47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Rockets47c148$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.566653%35 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Bulls75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Rockets48c131$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x342d…608cbacked Rockets48c131$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.882458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Rockets42c128.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Bulls54c122.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.136550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Bulls61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.85451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd66e…b743backed Bulls54c118.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.522653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Bulls54c118.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3611850%59 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Rockets47c117.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559244.6%41 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Rockets47c97.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9829848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Bulls39c95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets47c90.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.464,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5b…b03ebacked Bulls54c86.35$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1230…8e43backed Rockets47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408442.9%36 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff37…710ebacked Bulls54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.075100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Rockets47c73.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4834047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Rockets47c72.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1257250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Bulls54c64.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6719851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Rockets43c64.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.721,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Bulls54c64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4422748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Rockets46c63.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed Rockets47c61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.676442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Rockets46c61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0628852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Bulls39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc01d…2e79backed Bulls52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.86061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Bulls54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5633249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Bulls54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5610955%60 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Rockets48c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.47350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets43c52.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Bulls77c51.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8911753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Bulls54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.857744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaa2…563bbacked Bulls54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Rockets49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.998348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Rockets47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.511847.5%56 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7050…958ebacked Bulls54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Rockets46c45.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets47c43.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.783,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets47c42.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.113,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Rockets47c39.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Rockets47c35.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.850948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…2139backed Rockets47c34.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.142835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Rockets47c33.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5423048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Rockets47c32.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2746255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Rockets47c31.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9913441.8%56 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Rockets47c31.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9818060.6%109 W · 71 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa858…e816backed Bulls54c30.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x524f…bcbdbacked Bulls54c26.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.392433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Bulls53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4259948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b5…2139backed Rockets47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.222152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Bulls52c24.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9937549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Bulls54c23.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0123349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…34efbacked Rockets47c23.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Rockets47c21.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb24e…22f4backed Bulls54c19.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fb…9b40backed Bulls54c18.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.