TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,162 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under39c8,619$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.5254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Over54c6,300$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.2314356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under46c5,388$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.2639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over61c4,289$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over57c2,786$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.9842348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under29c2,326$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.723,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over57c1,942$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.3511156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under16c1,629$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7321243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over67c1,491$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.996764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.597444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Under3c1,330$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6912055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over54c1,150$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.0591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c953.53$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.122,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c905.31$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.922,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under45c903.78$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c859.61$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.473,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over60c785.58$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.345,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under42c501.13$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under18c450$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7518835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Over57c440$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.211245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over59c333$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.071,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1173,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under31c289.69$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7951438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over68c255.07$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.951,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under10c199.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over55c183.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.823435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x830b…7f63backed Under44c173$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under40c164.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9622048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe011…1a8ebacked Under45c158$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under16c156.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6429848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over58c150.23$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.12,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over60c150.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa191…10b5backed Under46c137$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe1…56c4backed Under45c129$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce3d…c12abacked Under44c128$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under13c116.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under46c113.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.220350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over73c103.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Under42c95.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over69c93.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.936861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over61c90.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1691746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Under39c88.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.777859%46 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Under45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under41c88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0822643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Under39c86.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5819851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2802…4155backed Over56c83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Under43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.49844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd077…46c0backed Under46c73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.584447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c71$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.453,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under42c69.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.041,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f6…8333backed Under33c65.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x457d…7af5backed Over56c62.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…dc4ebacked Over56c62.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under48c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.763951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc2…5a26backed Over56c59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.965100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x180f…aa51backed Over54c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under46c58.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2755444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under37c58.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.637028.6%20 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under40c56.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50fe…196dbacked Over54c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under39c50.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.414054.3%76 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc549…97b7backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under45c47.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4223651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under34c46.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.741,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under43c45.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over60c45.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.072,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under43c45.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.813448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61f…3105backed Over56c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under41c42.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc486…40c2backed Over56c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c41.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.172,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.437037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe673…d489backed Over57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b16…194cbacked Over55c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under46c37.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4124841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7114444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.146447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5d…f8d9backed Over57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Under42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8e…6d95backed Over56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5282…b517backed Over56c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Over56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7912257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36c9…2260backed Over54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed Over61c25.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.874245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce60…95dfbacked Over56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf488…0261backed Over54c22.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10df…3df3backed Over71c21.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.221060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Over63c19.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.125259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x136b…1845backed Over54c19.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f50…cd57backed Over55c19.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb833…2597backed Over55c18.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84d…7e86backed Over56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over65c16.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7514471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over74c15.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0113954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9539055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.