NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8701babc1347ee587783a04d3d870badbfa76149536761afdecc16f027a8286b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,899 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 133,164$65,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,250.29 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 53,980$27,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,450.2 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 45,000$22,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,050 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.92 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 18,530$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,079.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 6,953$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.22 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 50c | 4,612$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.1 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 3,149$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.01 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…6edcbacked Over | 51c | 2,229$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 51c | 2,206$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.94 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 2,144$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.5 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…d713backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 51c | 1,575$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.75 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 1,534$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.66 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,390$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 51c | 1,095$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.36 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 48c | 1,032$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.38 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 936.94$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.58 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 851.27$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 68c | 821.98$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.59 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 51c | 800$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 70c | 713.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 25c | 555.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 51c | 535.31$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 499.7$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.85 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 445.21$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.33 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 52c | 441.34$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 401.57$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 51c | 391.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Over | 52c | 357.69$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.69 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 331.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 49c | 330$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 51c | 315$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 278$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 257.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 52c | 249$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Over | 52c | 249$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 12c | 242.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 51c | 214.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 208$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 204.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 52c | 156$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…608cbacked Over | 52c | 155.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 155.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 52c | 152.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 150.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 52c | 128$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 51c | 126$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 32c | 108.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 50c | 100.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Over | 53c | 91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 55c | 88.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…afe5backed Over | 50c | 81.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 43c | 80.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 49c | 79.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Over | 52c | 79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 51c | 72.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 55c | 71.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 59c | 71.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 41c | 70.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 52c | 68.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…e92bbacked Over | 52c | 65.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Over | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…8a80backed Over | 52c | 63.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Under | 49c | 60.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Over | 52c | 60.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Over | 51c | 59.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…0398backed Over | 51c | 56.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Over | 52c | 50.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 51c | 49.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…60fabacked Over | 52c | 45.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Over | 52c | 44.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Rockets vs. BullsBulls won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.