NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f380fbba6e68baa36a0f2fa2f0f09a9a4d6d3d3f23659560284d556dea130da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Rockets, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $836,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,310 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 50c | 402,071$199,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,627.79 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rockets | 50c | 279,426$140,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,720.26 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 50c | 81,530$40,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,764.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 51c | 79,998$40,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,696.98 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Rockets | 53c | 63,656$33,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,750 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Rockets | 52c | 49,593$25,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,584.87 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Bulls | 47c | 30,591$14,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,219.18 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Rockets | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Bulls | 50c | 24,086$12,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,043 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Bulls | 50c | 21,490$10,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,745 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 48c | 18,911$9,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,833.83 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 49c | 18,519$9,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444.94 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Bulls | 48c | 16,640$7,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,652.8 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Bulls | 49c | 10,522$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.45 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Rockets | 52c | 9,654$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020.08 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bulls | 48c | 9,292$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.98 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Bulls | 50c | 8,785$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.5 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 17c | 8,731$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 48c | 8,727$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.22 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…afe5backed Bulls | 49c | 8,275$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…e6c1backed Bulls | 49c | 8,272$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Bulls | 49c | 8,265$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.31 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Bulls | 49c | 8,165$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.39 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rockets | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets | 51c | 7,093$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.42 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Rockets | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 51c | 5,913$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.23 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…b0ffbacked Bulls | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 50c | 5,044$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 48c | 5,000$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.6 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 51c | 4,611$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 34c | 4,259$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Bulls | 50c | 4,228$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.9 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Bulls | 49c | 4,158$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.4 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Bulls | 51c | 3,990$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.43 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bulls | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 50c | 3,565$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 31c | 3,420$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Rockets | 52c | 3,112$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.55 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Bulls | 50c | 2,996$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,990$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…b6dfbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,975$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…5f60backed Bulls | 50c | 2,951$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…cbcebacked Bulls | 50c | 2,779$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…5445backed Rockets | 50c | 2,755$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,719$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.71 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Bulls | 49c | 2,361$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.98 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 50c | 2,350$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.88 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Rockets | 51c | 2,057$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 48c | 2,054$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.36 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Bulls | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets | 51c | 1,937$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.69 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 51c | 1,892$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.1 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 13c | 1,740$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 49c | 1,667$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Bulls | 49c | 1,506$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.12 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Bulls | 49c | 1,268$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.68 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 50c | 1,167$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Bulls | 49c | 1,140$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.4 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.45 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Bulls | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.22 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Rockets | 48c | 1,039$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.72 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,017$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Bulls | 50c | 1,007$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.74 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bulls | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Rockets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rockets | 51c | 994$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.94 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Rockets | 51c | 878.43$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Rockets | 51c | 818.92$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.2 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187d…a53abacked Rockets | 6c | 816.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Rockets | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Bulls | 74c | 757.14$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bulls | 48c | 755$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.6 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Rockets | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Rockets | 51c | 650$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Rockets | 51c | 635.48$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.01 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…34f3backed Rockets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Rockets | 51c | 521$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.71 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls | 48c | 509.24$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 50c | 503.59$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Bulls | 66c | 482.76$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Rockets | 44c | 428.2$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.33 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Rockets | 13c | 396.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Bulls | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 49c | 388.48$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Bulls | 52c | 333.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Rockets | 50c | 314$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Rockets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Rockets | 22c | 292.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Rockets | 32c | 286.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Rockets | 53c | 280.63$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Bulls | 50c | 279.2$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Rockets | 51c | 262$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Rockets | 51c | 262$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Rockets | 51c | 262$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Rockets | 51c | 251$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Rockets vs. BullsBulls won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.