NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f14dc3680e843028abbd06fa3fd1c426b81411a6ef0e7075e27ccbc92a12542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,748 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 5,822$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.62 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 4,864$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.64 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 64c | 4,851$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…532cbacked Over | 49c | 4,773$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Under | 36c | 2,771$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 49c | 2,700$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 27c | 2,234$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.48 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 75c | 2,064$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.38 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 48c | 1,555$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.6 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 1,469$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.68 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 1,119$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 613.86$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Under | 38c | 530.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 51c | 400.86$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 38c | 363.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 350.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 50c | 336$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…0b14backed Under | 8c | 272$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 24c | 264.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 227.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 51c | 183.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 16c | 179.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 36c | 168.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 51c | 151.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 74c | 122.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Under | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 58c | 95.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Under | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5265…0d3bbacked Under | 35c | 57.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 52.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…8b52backed Over | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 69c | 43.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 34c | 36.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…05babacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…73f0backed Under | 32c | 31.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 48c | 29.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…d55fbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 48c | 23.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…64acbacked Under | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Under | 49c | 21.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 50c | 20.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 74c | 16.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Rockets vs. BullsBulls won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.