NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5fcf95fe61a69432f855723f2bcc0a6a8fdd988d648c917662b663c102becf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,975 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 7,235$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b6…4921backed Over | 51c | 4,621$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…3d5cbacked Over | 51c | 4,501$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 4,131$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.2 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 48c | 4,122$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.32 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…958bbacked Over | 51c | 3,711$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 3,646$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c8…7c7dbacked Over | 51c | 3,269$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa12…1df1backed Over | 51c | 3,023$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…7115backed Over | 51c | 3,001$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…e7f1backed Under | 49c | 2,998$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…e0f0backed Under | 49c | 2,994$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd860…0099backed Over | 51c | 2,926$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…5e7bbacked Under | 49c | 2,918$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…635cbacked Over | 51c | 2,911$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 43c | 2,890$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.94 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…7450backed Over | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…412bbacked Over | 51c | 2,806$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.98 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…bcd0backed Over | 51c | 2,798$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…44d2backed Over | 51c | 2,702$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc029…ade0backed Under | 49c | 2,682$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…86bfbacked Under | 49c | 2,672$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…1fabbacked Over | 51c | 2,664$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…ad4cbacked Under | 49c | 2,663$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…95c2backed Over | 51c | 2,653$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 2,552$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 2,495$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…abb0backed Under | 49c | 2,455$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…6832backed Under | 49c | 2,423$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…9567backed Under | 49c | 2,322$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3476…41b8backed Over | 51c | 2,296$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…8f25backed Over | 51c | 2,288$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…0152backed Under | 49c | 2,265$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…10a2backed Over | 51c | 2,264$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…a8aabacked Under | 49c | 2,264$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…a424backed Under | 49c | 2,233$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0024…7f31backed Over | 51c | 2,202$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…8094backed Under | 49c | 2,193$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 2,168$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…ef2abacked Under | 49c | 2,167$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…d703backed Under | 49c | 2,156$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd21…47a2backed Under | 49c | 2,088$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e44…8aa3backed Under | 49c | 2,069$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc298…45a4backed Under | 49c | 2,050$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…a573backed Under | 49c | 2,045$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…a8cfbacked Under | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…30fcbacked Under | 49c | 1,987$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…a98fbacked Over | 51c | 1,978$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…3a7abacked Over | 51c | 1,955$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…2a06backed Over | 51c | 1,939$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 52c | 1,923$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.12 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…8336backed Under | 49c | 1,899$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c68…1c07backed Under | 49c | 1,896$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0c…cae3backed Under | 49c | 1,777$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9701…6faebacked Under | 49c | 1,752$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…2f5ebacked Under | 49c | 1,722$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…3af5backed Over | 51c | 1,695$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…6e5abacked Under | 49c | 1,695$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd623…06a6backed Under | 49c | 1,655$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…cc6abacked Over | 51c | 1,546$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…de3cbacked Under | 49c | 1,520$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 58c | 1,488$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…e758backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…9c91backed Under | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…7a26backed Over | 51c | 1,455$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…0fefbacked Under | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 45c | 1,014$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.35 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…b4c2backed Under | 49c | 990$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 963.83$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 74c | 768.66$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 34c | 747.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.37 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 727.55$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.03 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 678.29$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.15 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 52c | 673$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 409.62$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 396.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 53c | 344.59$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Under | 49c | 304.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…9edbbacked Under | 49c | 301$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61c…79acbacked Under | 49c | 297$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 50c | 280.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 256$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 241.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 229.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 11c | 222.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 208.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 49c | 202.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 201.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Over | 53c | 199$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8730…d68bbacked Under | 49c | 186$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 38c | 163.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 52c | 127$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 105.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Rockets vs. BullsBulls won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.