Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be6b09b9ee89391ba16e3ad57dfc4025db332e1ec8e6c01c12c0530e46a5462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof South Alabama Jaguars, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,967 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed South Alabama Jaguars | 64c | 7,551$4,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.94 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 4,316$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.12 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 73c | 4,230$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked South Alabama Jaguars | 28c | 1,182$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 559.29$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.03 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 40c | 479.06$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 8c | 395.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 38c | 234.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 180.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 29c | 172.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed South Alabama Jaguars | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed South Alabama Jaguars | 28c | 126.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 53c | 123.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed South Alabama Jaguars | 16c | 120.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed South Alabama Jaguars | 16c | 114.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed South Alabama Jaguars | 16c | 108.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 15c | 102.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed South Alabama Jaguars | 28c | 98.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 23c | 92.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 60c | 75.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…eb76backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 61.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 57c | 60.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 42c | 48.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed South Alabama Jaguars | 47c | 40.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 53c | 36.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 74c | 36.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…64f4backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 40c | 33.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed South Alabama Jaguars | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 66c | 29.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed South Alabama Jaguars | 46c | 29.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…0458backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…a5aabacked South Alabama Jaguars | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 76cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed South Alabama Jaguars | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.