NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44336ee5467e2c873d2599bba1c79c18ba33a540bdbe80ac8f149a7812a77c6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Wild, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $439,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,240 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 584 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Wild | 40c | 66,262$26,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,504.61 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 60c | 60,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.98 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…d462backed Wild | 0c | 37,030$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Wild | 45c | 30,237$13,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,605.06 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 55c | 25,719$14,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,587.1 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lightning | 55c | 25,223$13,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,290.34 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Wild | 40c | 17,905$7,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,183.36 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Lightning | 59c | 13,423$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.4 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 58c | 6,851$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.91 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 59c | 6,300$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Lightning | 58c | 6,171$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.01 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Wild | 40c | 6,150$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.2 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wild | 40c | 6,043$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Wild | 58c | 5,371$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Wild | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild | 22c | 4,319$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 49c | 4,228$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.92 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Lightning | 60c | 4,010$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.1 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Wild | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wild | 31c | 3,810$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.23 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lightning | 60c | 3,750$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 59c | 3,406$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.55 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Wild | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.87 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wild | 39c | 3,082$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.05 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Wild | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Lightning | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 40c | 2,900$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.98 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 55c | 2,708$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.01 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 40c | 2,596$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.23 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 60c | 2,515$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.72 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…a6a1backed Wild | 45c | 2,396$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Wild | 67c | 2,269$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.58 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 65c | 2,123$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.41 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Wild | 9c | 2,055$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.43 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lightning | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Wild | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Lightning | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Wild | 40c | 2,000$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.96 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lightning | 60c | 1,914$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.36 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lightning | 41c | 1,902$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.46 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wild | 41c | 1,855$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.69 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 49c | 1,740$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.08 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…4c94backed Lightning | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa66…1c5bbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,650$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Lightning | 56c | 1,643$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.74 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Wild | 5c | 1,570$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Wild | 41c | 1,527$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01c…d9afbacked Lightning | 60c | 1,471$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92e7…87a4backed Wild | 39c | 1,450$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 44c | 1,446$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.77 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wild | 41c | 1,438$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.58 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wild | 54c | 1,406$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.48 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…2817backed Lightning | 60c | 1,376$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Lightning | 53c | 1,290$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.43 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Wild | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lightning | 37c | 1,252$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.37 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Wild | 30c | 1,249$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa0…b86ebacked Lightning | 61c | 1,220$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Lightning | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Wild | 78c | 1,172$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.41 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,135$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.8 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lightning | 35c | 1,085$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.7 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Wild | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wild | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Wild | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Wild | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…e73fbacked Wild | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Wild | 41c | 960$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Lightning | 59c | 910.68$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.38 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 52c | 905.79$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.04 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…afd3backed Lightning | 60c | 870$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…84b3backed Lightning | 60c | 857.5$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…37febacked Wild | 39c | 850$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Wild | 41c | 849.98$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.49 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Lightning | 60c | 840$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Lightning | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lightning | 59c | 800.04$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…c35cbacked Wild | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…e53bbacked Lightning | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Lightning | 60c | 783.33$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…d14fbacked Wild | 39c | 780$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…96a7backed Lightning | 61c | 780$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Wild | 40c | 771.96$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ba…0241backed Wild | 39c | 770$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…7d3abacked Wild | 40c | 760$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ce…d056backed Lightning | 61c | 750$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…2839backed Lightning | 61c | 750$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…e0fabacked Wild | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…096fbacked Wild | 41c | 740$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…a1f1backed Wild | 41c | 736$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.76 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Lightning | 78c | 735.65$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…614abacked Wild | 41c | 731$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…e9fabacked Lightning | 61c | 730$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lightning | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 42c | 710.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Lightning | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Lightning | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…a377backed Wild | 39c | 699.93$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Lightningthis page
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
- Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.