NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc818a6533735f4fd644385a8b0333d718a697e781804508601f48e39ad52f12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,003 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 6,028$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.67 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 5,036$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.7 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 52c | 3,017$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.71 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 52c | 2,775$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,695$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.23 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…aa48backed Under | 53c | 1,270$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 53c | 1,073$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.91 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 53c | 1,063$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.39 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 862.14$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.64 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 53c | 601$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.53 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 47c | 521.76$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 58c | 495.56$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.74 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…1fb8backed Over | 48c | 285.63$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 21c | 224.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 62c | 218.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 211.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 48c | 202.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 49c | 184.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…15bcbacked Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4779backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…39f7backed Over | 47c | 179.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…95f9backed Over | 47c | 178.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7339…c738backed Over | 47c | 173.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…38c7backed Under | 53c | 172$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d8…204ebacked Over | 47c | 171.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…fdddbacked Under | 53c | 171$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd910…1f25backed Over | 47c | 170.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdd…71e4backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…f51abacked Under | 53c | 169$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…bb6dbacked Over | 47c | 167.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…d44fbacked Under | 53c | 167$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe919…14b3backed Under | 53c | 167$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a0…f611backed Under | 53c | 166$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…ed96backed Under | 53c | 165$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…bc49backed Over | 47c | 163.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81cb…31ffbacked Over | 47c | 163.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…43b2backed Over | 47c | 158.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…867ebacked Over | 47c | 155.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…00b2backed Under | 53c | 155$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e286backed Under | 53c | 153$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…85ccbacked Over | 47c | 152.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7fdebacked Over | 47c | 151.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…c466backed Over | 47c | 150.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…05a2backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…7c11backed Under | 53c | 148$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…c9cbbacked Over | 47c | 147.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c3…81ccbacked Over | 47c | 146.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…1a0fbacked Under | 53c | 146$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…a7d1backed Over | 47c | 145.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…9c32backed Under | 53c | 145$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62aa…20c8backed Under | 53c | 145$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5f…ab46backed Over | 47c | 144.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…148ebacked Under | 53c | 143$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…09b4backed Over | 47c | 141.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…d689backed Over | 47c | 138.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…ff4dbacked Over | 47c | 137.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7882…d223backed Under | 53c | 135.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…03f9backed Under | 53c | 134.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…ee03backed Over | 47c | 132.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79da…5340backed Over | 47c | 132.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…d311backed Under | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…f73fbacked Under | 53c | 131$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…4e4ebacked Under | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…eb74backed Over | 47c | 129.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e09…2255backed Under | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1e…1626backed Under | 53c | 127.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…3e61backed Over | 47c | 127.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 53c | 127.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950e…6c65backed Over | 47c | 127.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23db…6f9abacked Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f97…4b82backed Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…410bbacked Over | 47c | 124.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce75…9e73backed Under | 53c | 124$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…2d5dbacked Under | 53c | 123$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…4f50backed Over | 47c | 121.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f61…74b4backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Over | 65c | 119$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…0ad0backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 107.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…db46backed Under | 54c | 101.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 46c | 86.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 74.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Under | 52c | 71.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 69.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 47c | 65.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 46c | 59.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…3520backed Over | 56c | 50.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
- Wild vs. LightningLightning won
- Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.