NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd75c4f0a7738b27e7ac2b872be6be5ad2c7f3c377951740a5da5425176251c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Islanders, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $678,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,436 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 46c | 116,082$53,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,125.76 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 48c | 84,000$40,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,319.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Islanders | 47c | 68,800$32,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,336.1 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 53c | 65,000$34,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,400 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Canadiens | 53c | 62,549$33,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,423.57 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Islanders | 47c | 42,239$19,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,852.24 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Canadiens | 51c | 30,645$15,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,887.17 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 53c | 25,535$13,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,114.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 65c | 21,133$13,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,679.22 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 53c | 20,000$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,299.95 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canadiens | 52c | 19,682$10,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,447.43 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 18,792$10,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,617.59 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Canadiens | 53c | 16,348$8,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,726.36 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Canadiens | 35c | 16,140$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,491.26 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 53c | 15,000$7,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,030 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked Canadiens | 53c | 14,955$7,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…46c9backed Canadiens | 53c | 10,699$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,028.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Canadiens | 53c | 10,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Islanders | 47c | 9,500$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.03 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Canadiens | 52c | 8,000$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.98 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Canadiens | 55c | 7,255$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 55c | 6,594$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.73 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 47c | 6,268$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.74 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens | 54c | 6,000$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens | 53c | 5,750$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Islanders | 45c | 4,679$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canadiens | 55c | 4,560$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.31 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 53c | 4,545$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.15 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Canadiens | 33c | 4,444$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.2 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Canadiens | 53c | 4,106$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.72 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders | 47c | 3,968$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.58 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Canadiens | 55c | 3,659$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.55 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Canadiens | 55c | 3,488$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens | 53c | 3,451$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.18 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Canadiens | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Canadiens | 72c | 3,078$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.82 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed Islanders | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens | 53c | 3,000$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.97 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 47c | 2,895$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.44 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens | 53c | 2,800$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,777$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.97 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 52c | 2,728$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.94 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Islanders | 48c | 2,653$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.78 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,579$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.57 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Canadiens | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…9901backed Islanders | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…9dffbacked Canadiens | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Islanders | 9c | 2,095$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders | 46c | 2,085$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.46 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders | 46c | 2,051$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.57 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Islanders | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,996$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Islanders | 47c | 1,857$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.15 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,716$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.63 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Islanders | 54c | 1,582$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,391$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,316$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.77 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…9072backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,312$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Islanders | 69c | 1,224$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.29 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 55c | 1,196$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.88 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…dc5dbacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,170$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.81 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Islanders | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Islanders | 67c | 1,059$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.78 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Islanders | 66c | 1,010$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders | 19c | 1,000$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Islanders | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Canadiens | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…cd4bbacked Canadiens | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Canadiens | 45c | 931.98$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.93 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Canadiens | 54c | 925.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Islanders | 47c | 922$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.34 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Islanders | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…6f1abacked Islanders | 69c | 864.98$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Islanders | 48c | 850$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Canadiens | 53c | 837.95$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.81 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canadiens | 45c | 807.59$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 67c | 806.99$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.55 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Canadiens | 46c | 800$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Canadiens | 53c | 795$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.92 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…4df8backed Canadiens | 53c | 737$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Canadiens | 55c | 730$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…6333backed Islanders | 48c | 689.75$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.08 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Canadiens | 54c | 689$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…6bb7backed Islanders | 48c | 680$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…cfe3backed Canadiens | 52c | 670$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…7dcebacked Canadiens | 53c | 658$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Canadiens | 43c | 647.88$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.53 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…0bedbacked Islanders | 48c | 645.25$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.72 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…cb58backed Canadiens | 52c | 640$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b21…7accbacked Islanders | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 40c | 625.92$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.77 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Islanders | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Canadiensthis page
- Islanders vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.